NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ALBY BC
Points 72.3 88.1
Total Points   160.4
Points From 2-Pointers 36.5 53.8
Points From 3-Pointers 24.4 18.3
Points From Free Throws 11.4 16.0
Shooting ALBY BC
Field Goals Made 26.4 33.0
Field Goals Attempted 62.6 60.6
Field Goal % 42.1% 54.4%
2 Pointers Made 18.2 26.9
2 Pointers Attempted 37.9 42.3
2 Point Shooting % 48.2% 63.6%
3 Pointers Made 8.1 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 24.8 18.3
3 Point Shooting % 32.9% 33.3%
Free Throws Made 11.4 16.0
Free Throws Attempted 15.4 21.5
Free Throw % 73.9% 74.4%
Ball Control ALBY BC
Rebounds 31.3 37.4
Rebounds - Defensive 21.3 28.0
Rebounds - Offensive 10.0 9.4
Turnovers 11.6 9.1
Blocked Shots 2.6 4.5
Steals 6.2 6.5
Fouls 16.6 12.8

Playing Style Advantage: Albany

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ALBY BC
Total Possessions 73.4
Effective Scoring Chances 71.8 73.7
% of Possessions with ALBY BC
2 Point Attempt 44.4% 50.4%
3 Point Attempt 29.1% 21.9%
Player Fouled 17.4% 22.6%
Turnover 15.8% 12.4%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken ALBY BC
Shot Blocked 7.5% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 26.4% 30.6%