NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ALBY PROV
Points 66.6 85.6
Total Points   152.2
Points From 2-Pointers 34.5 47.3
Points From 3-Pointers 20.5 18.3
Points From Free Throws 11.5 20.0
Shooting ALBY PROV
Field Goals Made 24.1 29.7
Field Goals Attempted 63.0 56.2
Field Goal % 38.3% 52.9%
2 Pointers Made 17.3 23.6
2 Pointers Attempted 42.0 35.6
2 Point Shooting % 41.1% 66.4%
3 Pointers Made 6.8 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 20.9 20.6
3 Point Shooting % 32.7% 29.6%
Free Throws Made 11.5 20.0
Free Throws Attempted 15.6 26.8
Free Throw % 73.9% 74.5%
Ball Control ALBY PROV
Rebounds 30.8 40.1
Rebounds - Defensive 21.1 30.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.8 9.4
Turnovers 12.4 11.3
Blocked Shots 2.3 5.3
Steals 7.2 6.9
Fouls 19.1 12.9

Playing Style Advantage: Providence

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ALBY PROV
Total Possessions 74.7
Effective Scoring Chances 72.1 72.8
% of Possessions with ALBY PROV
2 Point Attempt 48.5% 41.8%
3 Point Attempt 24.2% 24.2%
Player Fouled 17.3% 25.5%
Turnover 16.6% 15.2%
Opponent Steal 9.2% 9.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken ALBY PROV
Shot Blocked 9.6% 3.7%
Offensive Rebound 24.1% 30.9%