NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ALBY
Points 83.0 65.7
Total Points   148.7
Points From 2-Pointers 44.0 41.1
Points From 3-Pointers 26.5 15.5
Points From Free Throws 12.5 9.1
Shooting ALBY
Field Goals Made 30.8 25.7
Field Goals Attempted 62.1 56.0
Field Goal % 49.7% 45.9%
2 Pointers Made 22.0 20.6
2 Pointers Attempted 39.1 36.8
2 Point Shooting % 56.3% 55.9%
3 Pointers Made 8.8 5.2
3 Pointers Attempted 22.9 19.2
3 Point Shooting % 38.5% 26.8%
Free Throws Made 12.5 9.1
Free Throws Attempted 16.9 15.0
Free Throw % 73.9% 60.7%
Ball Control ALBY
Rebounds 37.4 29.6
Rebounds - Defensive 25.9 21.9
Rebounds - Offensive 11.5 7.7
Turnovers 11.3 14.4
Blocked Shots 2.8 4.2
Steals 7.9 6.1
Fouls 14.7 12.8

Playing Style Advantage:

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ALBY
Total Possessions 72.3
Effective Scoring Chances 72.5 65.6
% of Possessions with ALBY
2 Point Attempt 45.8% 45.3%
3 Point Attempt 26.8% 23.7%
Player Fouled 17.7% 20.3%
Turnover 15.6% 20.0%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 11.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken ALBY
Shot Blocked 7.6% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 34.5% 22.9%