NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ALBY NJIT
Points 81.5 74.9
Total Points   156.4
Points From 2-Pointers 42.0 42.2
Points From 3-Pointers 23.1 15.9
Points From Free Throws 16.4 16.8
Shooting ALBY NJIT
Field Goals Made 28.7 26.4
Field Goals Attempted 60.8 60.4
Field Goal % 47.2% 43.7%
2 Pointers Made 21.0 21.1
2 Pointers Attempted 38.1 40.8
2 Point Shooting % 55.1% 51.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.7 5.3
3 Pointers Attempted 22.6 19.7
3 Point Shooting % 33.9% 27.0%
Free Throws Made 16.4 16.8
Free Throws Attempted 22.2 23.3
Free Throw % 73.9% 72.1%
Ball Control ALBY NJIT
Rebounds 38.0 34.7
Rebounds - Defensive 26.4 23.5
Rebounds - Offensive 11.6 11.3
Turnovers 11.1 10.3
Blocked Shots 3.0 3.9
Steals 6.3 7.0
Fouls 15.8 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: Albany

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ALBY NJIT
Total Possessions 73.9
Effective Scoring Chances 74.4 74.8
% of Possessions with ALBY NJIT
2 Point Attempt 43.7% 47.2%
3 Point Attempt 26.0% 22.8%
Player Fouled 21.2% 21.3%
Turnover 15.1% 14.0%
Opponent Steal 9.4% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken ALBY NJIT
Shot Blocked 6.5% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 33.1% 29.9%