NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ALBY MAN
Points 82.7 75.7
Total Points   158.4
Points From 2-Pointers 45.2 47.3
Points From 3-Pointers 25.0 16.1
Points From Free Throws 12.5 12.3
Shooting ALBY MAN
Field Goals Made 30.9 29.0
Field Goals Attempted 63.1 61.2
Field Goal % 49.0% 47.4%
2 Pointers Made 22.6 23.6
2 Pointers Attempted 40.7 41.9
2 Point Shooting % 55.5% 56.4%
3 Pointers Made 8.3 5.4
3 Pointers Attempted 22.4 19.2
3 Point Shooting % 37.2% 28.0%
Free Throws Made 12.5 12.3
Free Throws Attempted 16.9 16.8
Free Throw % 73.9% 73.2%
Ball Control ALBY MAN
Rebounds 36.3 32.6
Rebounds - Defensive 25.9 24.0
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 8.6
Turnovers 11.9 12.1
Blocked Shots 3.4 3.8
Steals 8.3 7.6
Fouls 14.3 12.1

Playing Style Advantage: Manhattan

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ALBY MAN
Total Possessions 75.0
Effective Scoring Chances 73.6 71.4
% of Possessions with ALBY MAN
2 Point Attempt 46.8% 49.4%
3 Point Attempt 25.8% 22.6%
Player Fouled 16.2% 19.0%
Turnover 15.8% 16.2%
Opponent Steal 10.2% 11.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken ALBY MAN
Shot Blocked 6.2% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 30.3% 24.9%