NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ALBY STON
Points 76.6 81.4
Total Points   157.9
Points From 2-Pointers 35.3 47.7
Points From 3-Pointers 28.4 16.0
Points From Free Throws 12.8 17.7
Shooting ALBY STON
Field Goals Made 27.1 29.2
Field Goals Attempted 64.7 59.1
Field Goal % 41.9% 49.4%
2 Pointers Made 17.7 23.8
2 Pointers Attempted 37.4 42.1
2 Point Shooting % 47.2% 56.6%
3 Pointers Made 9.5 5.3
3 Pointers Attempted 27.2 16.9
3 Point Shooting % 34.7% 31.5%
Free Throws Made 12.8 17.7
Free Throws Attempted 17.4 24.3
Free Throw % 73.9% 72.8%
Ball Control ALBY STON
Rebounds 35.7 37.9
Rebounds - Defensive 24.4 28.5
Rebounds - Offensive 11.3 9.4
Turnovers 10.5 9.9
Blocked Shots 2.2 3.5
Steals 6.7 6.1
Fouls 16.6 12.8

Playing Style Advantage: Albany

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ALBY STON
Total Possessions 74.6
Effective Scoring Chances 75.4 74.0
% of Possessions with ALBY STON
2 Point Attempt 42.9% 49.7%
3 Point Attempt 31.2% 20.0%
Player Fouled 17.2% 22.3%
Turnover 14.1% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 9.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken ALBY STON
Shot Blocked 6.1% 3.4%
Offensive Rebound 28.4% 27.7%