NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ALBY UNH
Points 82.5 80.8
Total Points   163.2
Points From 2-Pointers 47.0 44.8
Points From 3-Pointers 23.3 18.6
Points From Free Throws 12.2 17.3
Shooting ALBY UNH
Field Goals Made 31.3 28.6
Field Goals Attempted 64.6 59.9
Field Goal % 48.4% 47.8%
2 Pointers Made 23.5 22.4
2 Pointers Attempted 39.3 38.3
2 Point Shooting % 59.8% 58.6%
3 Pointers Made 7.8 6.2
3 Pointers Attempted 25.3 21.6
3 Point Shooting % 30.7% 28.7%
Free Throws Made 12.2 17.3
Free Throws Attempted 16.5 22.8
Free Throw % 73.9% 76.0%
Ball Control ALBY UNH
Rebounds 36.2 33.7
Rebounds - Defensive 26.3 25.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.9 7.9
Turnovers 12.3 12.1
Blocked Shots 3.8 2.2
Steals 8.3 7.2
Fouls 17.3 12.5

Playing Style Advantage: Albany

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ALBY UNH
Total Possessions 77.6
Effective Scoring Chances 75.3 73.4
% of Possessions with ALBY UNH
2 Point Attempt 44.5% 44.0%
3 Point Attempt 28.6% 24.8%
Player Fouled 16.2% 22.3%
Turnover 15.8% 15.6%
Opponent Steal 9.3% 10.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken ALBY UNH
Shot Blocked 3.7% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 27.8% 23.1%