NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TULN TLSA
Points 79.1 76.0
Total Points   155.1
Points From 2-Pointers 37.4 32.7
Points From 3-Pointers 21.4 25.1
Points From Free Throws 20.3 18.2
Shooting TULN TLSA
Field Goals Made 25.8 24.7
Field Goals Attempted 55.5 57.9
Field Goal % 46.5% 42.7%
2 Pointers Made 18.7 16.4
2 Pointers Attempted 35.1 32.1
2 Point Shooting % 53.2% 51.0%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 8.4
3 Pointers Attempted 20.4 25.8
3 Point Shooting % 34.9% 32.4%
Free Throws Made 20.3 18.2
Free Throws Attempted 28.4 24.8
Free Throw % 71.6% 73.6%
Ball Control TULN TLSA
Rebounds 34.8 36.4
Rebounds - Defensive 28.6 28.2
Rebounds - Offensive 6.2 8.3
Turnovers 10.8 12.0
Blocked Shots 2.5 3.2
Steals 7.1 6.7
Fouls 16.8 18.4

Playing Style Advantage: Tulane

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TULN TLSA
Total Possessions 76.8
Effective Scoring Chances 72.2 73.1
% of Possessions with TULN TLSA
2 Point Attempt 41.6% 37.3%
3 Point Attempt 24.3% 30.0%
Player Fouled 24.0% 21.9%
Turnover 14.1% 15.6%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 9.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken TULN TLSA
Shot Blocked 5.6% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 18.1% 22.4%