NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TULN ECU
Points 76.7 74.7
Total Points   151.5
Points From 2-Pointers 36.4 35.1
Points From 3-Pointers 23.1 24.8
Points From Free Throws 17.2 14.9
Shooting TULN ECU
Field Goals Made 25.9 25.8
Field Goals Attempted 53.6 61.9
Field Goal % 48.3% 41.7%
2 Pointers Made 18.2 17.5
2 Pointers Attempted 31.7 37.2
2 Point Shooting % 57.4% 47.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.7 8.3
3 Pointers Attempted 21.9 24.7
3 Point Shooting % 35.2% 33.4%
Free Throws Made 17.2 14.9
Free Throws Attempted 24.1 21.7
Free Throw % 71.6% 68.6%
Ball Control TULN ECU
Rebounds 33.4 38.0
Rebounds - Defensive 27.4 25.6
Rebounds - Offensive 6.0 12.4
Turnovers 10.8 9.6
Blocked Shots 3.5 3.4
Steals 5.9 7.0
Fouls 14.3 16.4

Playing Style Advantage: Tulane

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TULN ECU
Total Possessions 72.5
Effective Scoring Chances 67.7 75.3
% of Possessions with TULN ECU
2 Point Attempt 39.8% 43.1%
3 Point Attempt 27.4% 28.7%
Player Fouled 22.7% 19.7%
Turnover 14.9% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 9.6% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken TULN ECU
Shot Blocked 5.5% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 18.9% 31.1%