NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TULN WICH
Points 77.3 77.5
Total Points   154.8
Points From 2-Pointers 39.5 42.7
Points From 3-Pointers 21.4 21.9
Points From Free Throws 16.4 12.8
Shooting TULN WICH
Field Goals Made 26.9 28.7
Field Goals Attempted 59.8 64.9
Field Goal % 45.0% 44.2%
2 Pointers Made 19.8 21.4
2 Pointers Attempted 39.3 43.5
2 Point Shooting % 50.3% 49.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 20.5 21.4
3 Point Shooting % 34.8% 34.3%
Free Throws Made 16.4 12.8
Free Throws Attempted 22.9 18.4
Free Throw % 71.6% 69.7%
Ball Control TULN WICH
Rebounds 33.6 41.7
Rebounds - Defensive 27.1 29.8
Rebounds - Offensive 6.5 11.9
Turnovers 9.1 11.0
Blocked Shots 4.2 4.6
Steals 7.6 5.8
Fouls 13.1 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Wichita St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TULN WICH
Total Possessions 75.2
Effective Scoring Chances 72.6 76.1
% of Possessions with TULN WICH
2 Point Attempt 47.1% 49.0%
3 Point Attempt 24.5% 24.1%
Player Fouled 21.0% 17.4%
Turnover 12.0% 14.6%
Opponent Steal 7.7% 10.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken TULN WICH
Shot Blocked 7.2% 7.1%
Offensive Rebound 17.8% 30.5%