NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring L-MD ARMY
Points 60.6 62.8
Total Points   123.4
Points From 2-Pointers 28.8 32.0
Points From 3-Pointers 21.3 22.3
Points From Free Throws 10.5 8.5
Shooting L-MD ARMY
Field Goals Made 21.5 23.4
Field Goals Attempted 52.9 52.0
Field Goal % 40.7% 45.1%
2 Pointers Made 14.4 16.0
2 Pointers Attempted 32.0 29.7
2 Point Shooting % 45.1% 53.9%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 20.9 22.3
3 Point Shooting % 33.9% 33.3%
Free Throws Made 10.5 8.5
Free Throws Attempted 16.4 14.2
Free Throw % 64.1% 60.0%
Ball Control L-MD ARMY
Rebounds 34.2 32.0
Rebounds - Defensive 25.2 25.3
Rebounds - Offensive 9.0 6.7
Turnovers 10.6 10.1
Blocked Shots 1.7 4.2
Steals 6.3 5.6
Fouls 13.2 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: Army

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats L-MD ARMY
Total Possessions 64.3
Effective Scoring Chances 62.7 60.9
% of Possessions with L-MD ARMY
2 Point Attempt 42.6% 41.4%
3 Point Attempt 27.9% 31.1%
Player Fouled 22.6% 20.5%
Turnover 16.5% 15.7%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 9.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken L-MD ARMY
Shot Blocked 8.1% 3.3%
Offensive Rebound 26.3% 21.1%