NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring L-MD SBON
Points 57.5 79.4
Total Points   136.9
Points From 2-Pointers 27.2 41.2
Points From 3-Pointers 19.9 22.9
Points From Free Throws 10.3 15.4
Shooting L-MD SBON
Field Goals Made 20.3 28.2
Field Goals Attempted 52.6 52.9
Field Goal % 38.5% 53.3%
2 Pointers Made 13.6 20.6
2 Pointers Attempted 31.7 33.5
2 Point Shooting % 43.0% 61.4%
3 Pointers Made 6.6 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 20.9 19.4
3 Point Shooting % 31.7% 39.3%
Free Throws Made 10.3 15.4
Free Throws Attempted 16.1 19.9
Free Throw % 64.1% 77.3%
Ball Control L-MD SBON
Rebounds 29.4 33.2
Rebounds - Defensive 20.5 26.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 6.9
Turnovers 13.1 8.4
Blocked Shots 1.3 4.6
Steals 4.3 6.9
Fouls 14.4 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: Loyola-MD

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats L-MD SBON
Total Possessions 66.7
Effective Scoring Chances 62.4 65.2
% of Possessions with L-MD SBON
2 Point Attempt 40.9% 45.3%
3 Point Attempt 27.0% 26.2%
Player Fouled 21.2% 21.7%
Turnover 19.7% 12.6%
Opponent Steal 10.3% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken L-MD SBON
Shot Blocked 8.7% 2.5%
Offensive Rebound 25.3% 25.1%