NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring L-MD AMER
Points 62.5 69.9
Total Points   132.4
Points From 2-Pointers 29.7 34.5
Points From 3-Pointers 23.2 24.4
Points From Free Throws 9.6 11.0
Shooting L-MD AMER
Field Goals Made 22.6 25.4
Field Goals Attempted 51.2 51.1
Field Goal % 44.1% 49.7%
2 Pointers Made 14.8 17.3
2 Pointers Attempted 30.0 28.9
2 Point Shooting % 49.5% 59.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.7 8.1
3 Pointers Attempted 21.2 22.2
3 Point Shooting % 36.6% 36.6%
Free Throws Made 9.6 11.0
Free Throws Attempted 15.0 15.4
Free Throw % 64.1% 71.6%
Ball Control L-MD AMER
Rebounds 30.3 29.7
Rebounds - Defensive 22.0 23.5
Rebounds - Offensive 8.3 6.2
Turnovers 11.0 9.3
Blocked Shots 1.4 1.5
Steals 4.8 5.6
Fouls 14.2 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: Loyola-MD

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats L-MD AMER
Total Possessions 63.7
Effective Scoring Chances 61.1 60.6
% of Possessions with L-MD AMER
2 Point Attempt 41.3% 40.9%
3 Point Attempt 29.2% 31.5%
Player Fouled 22.9% 22.3%
Turnover 17.2% 14.6%
Opponent Steal 8.8% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken L-MD AMER
Shot Blocked 2.9% 2.7%
Offensive Rebound 26.2% 22.1%