NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring L-MD DSU
Points 73.4 67.8
Total Points   141.2
Points From 2-Pointers 35.2 44.7
Points From 3-Pointers 23.8 10.0
Points From Free Throws 14.4 13.2
Shooting L-MD DSU
Field Goals Made 25.5 25.7
Field Goals Attempted 55.8 60.4
Field Goal % 45.7% 42.4%
2 Pointers Made 17.6 22.3
2 Pointers Attempted 29.9 49.7
2 Point Shooting % 58.9% 44.9%
3 Pointers Made 7.9 3.3
3 Pointers Attempted 25.9 10.8
3 Point Shooting % 30.5% 30.9%
Free Throws Made 14.4 13.2
Free Throws Attempted 20.5 18.6
Free Throw % 70.4% 70.9%
Ball Control L-MD DSU
Rebounds 36.0 35.5
Rebounds - Defensive 26.4 24.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.6 11.3
Turnovers 11.7 10.2
Blocked Shots 3.0 1.8
Steals 5.8 7.2
Fouls 13.9 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: Loyola-MD

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats L-MD DSU
Total Possessions 71.0
Effective Scoring Chances 69.0 72.1
% of Possessions with L-MD DSU
2 Point Attempt 36.7% 59.5%
3 Point Attempt 31.9% 12.9%
Player Fouled 22.4% 19.6%
Turnover 16.4% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 10.1% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken L-MD DSU
Shot Blocked 3.0% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 28.5% 30.0%