NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring L-MD NAVY
Points 64.6 68.3
Total Points   132.8
Points From 2-Pointers 33.5 37.4
Points From 3-Pointers 19.4 16.0
Points From Free Throws 11.7 14.9
Shooting L-MD NAVY
Field Goals Made 23.2 24.0
Field Goals Attempted 51.2 54.1
Field Goal % 45.4% 44.4%
2 Pointers Made 16.8 18.7
2 Pointers Attempted 31.5 37.2
2 Point Shooting % 53.1% 50.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.5 5.3
3 Pointers Attempted 19.6 16.9
3 Point Shooting % 33.0% 31.7%
Free Throws Made 11.7 14.9
Free Throws Attempted 18.2 20.9
Free Throw % 64.1% 71.0%
Ball Control L-MD NAVY
Rebounds 34.2 31.1
Rebounds - Defensive 24.5 22.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 9.0
Turnovers 12.8 8.4
Blocked Shots 2.4 2.4
Steals 4.2 5.9
Fouls 15.9 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: Loyola-MD

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats L-MD NAVY
Total Possessions 66.2
Effective Scoring Chances 63.1 66.9
% of Possessions with L-MD NAVY
2 Point Attempt 41.1% 48.9%
3 Point Attempt 25.5% 22.2%
Player Fouled 24.0% 24.1%
Turnover 19.3% 12.6%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken L-MD NAVY
Shot Blocked 4.5% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 30.6% 26.9%