NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring L-MD ODU
Points 65.0 74.9
Total Points   139.9
Points From 2-Pointers 27.1 42.7
Points From 3-Pointers 24.4 21.0
Points From Free Throws 13.5 11.2
Shooting L-MD ODU
Field Goals Made 21.7 28.4
Field Goals Attempted 54.8 58.7
Field Goal % 39.6% 48.3%
2 Pointers Made 13.5 21.4
2 Pointers Attempted 31.3 38.4
2 Point Shooting % 43.3% 55.7%
3 Pointers Made 8.1 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 23.5 20.3
3 Point Shooting % 34.6% 34.4%
Free Throws Made 13.5 11.2
Free Throws Attempted 21.0 17.0
Free Throw % 64.1% 65.9%
Ball Control L-MD ODU
Rebounds 37.5 33.3
Rebounds - Defensive 26.8 26.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 6.9
Turnovers 13.5 8.5
Blocked Shots 1.9 5.0
Steals 5.0 7.8
Fouls 13.4 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: Old Dominion

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats L-MD ODU
Total Possessions 70.6
Effective Scoring Chances 67.8 69.0
% of Possessions with L-MD ODU
2 Point Attempt 37.5% 49.0%
3 Point Attempt 28.3% 26.0%
Player Fouled 22.2% 19.0%
Turnover 19.1% 12.1%
Opponent Steal 11.0% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken L-MD ODU
Shot Blocked 8.6% 3.5%
Offensive Rebound 28.8% 20.6%