NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring L-MD LEH
Points 64.3 73.9
Total Points   138.2
Points From 2-Pointers 33.9 40.2
Points From 3-Pointers 20.1 19.6
Points From Free Throws 10.3 14.1
Shooting L-MD LEH
Field Goals Made 23.7 26.6
Field Goals Attempted 54.2 53.4
Field Goal % 43.7% 49.9%
2 Pointers Made 16.9 20.1
2 Pointers Attempted 34.6 34.1
2 Point Shooting % 49.0% 59.0%
3 Pointers Made 6.7 6.5
3 Pointers Attempted 19.6 19.3
3 Point Shooting % 34.3% 33.9%
Free Throws Made 10.3 14.1
Free Throws Attempted 16.1 19.3
Free Throw % 64.1% 72.8%
Ball Control L-MD LEH
Rebounds 32.4 31.2
Rebounds - Defensive 24.6 26.0
Rebounds - Offensive 7.8 5.2
Turnovers 13.0 9.9
Blocked Shots 2.0 2.4
Steals 5.8 7.3
Fouls 15.4 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: Lehigh

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats L-MD LEH
Total Possessions 69.6
Effective Scoring Chances 64.4 64.9
% of Possessions with L-MD LEH
2 Point Attempt 44.1% 45.1%
3 Point Attempt 25.0% 25.5%
Player Fouled 20.9% 22.2%
Turnover 18.6% 14.2%
Opponent Steal 10.5% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken L-MD LEH
Shot Blocked 4.5% 3.8%
Offensive Rebound 23.0% 17.4%