NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring L-MD GMU
Points 55.4 75.9
Total Points   131.3
Points From 2-Pointers 24.7 40.2
Points From 3-Pointers 21.1 20.0
Points From Free Throws 9.6 15.7
Shooting L-MD GMU
Field Goals Made 19.4 26.8
Field Goals Attempted 53.4 49.7
Field Goal % 36.3% 53.8%
2 Pointers Made 12.4 20.1
2 Pointers Attempted 31.4 31.6
2 Point Shooting % 39.4% 63.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.0 6.7
3 Pointers Attempted 21.9 18.2
3 Point Shooting % 32.0% 36.7%
Free Throws Made 9.6 15.7
Free Throws Attempted 15.0 21.1
Free Throw % 64.1% 74.1%
Ball Control L-MD GMU
Rebounds 28.9 34.1
Rebounds - Defensive 19.3 27.1
Rebounds - Offensive 9.6 6.9
Turnovers 11.8 9.3
Blocked Shots 1.8 3.5
Steals 5.6 5.9
Fouls 16.1 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: Loyola-MD

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats L-MD GMU
Total Possessions 65.1
Effective Scoring Chances 62.9 62.7
% of Possessions with L-MD GMU
2 Point Attempt 41.3% 43.4%
3 Point Attempt 28.8% 25.0%
Player Fouled 21.5% 24.7%
Turnover 18.1% 14.3%
Opponent Steal 9.0% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken L-MD GMU
Shot Blocked 7.2% 3.5%
Offensive Rebound 26.1% 26.4%