NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring L-MD COLG
Points 56.9 72.6
Total Points   129.5
Points From 2-Pointers 28.9 41.3
Points From 3-Pointers 19.4 20.4
Points From Free Throws 8.5 10.9
Shooting L-MD COLG
Field Goals Made 20.9 27.5
Field Goals Attempted 55.8 53.0
Field Goal % 37.6% 51.8%
2 Pointers Made 14.5 20.7
2 Pointers Attempted 33.8 33.8
2 Point Shooting % 42.8% 61.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.5 6.8
3 Pointers Attempted 22.0 19.2
3 Point Shooting % 29.5% 35.4%
Free Throws Made 8.5 10.9
Free Throws Attempted 13.2 16.4
Free Throw % 64.1% 66.6%
Ball Control L-MD COLG
Rebounds 31.9 34.1
Rebounds - Defensive 22.8 28.1
Rebounds - Offensive 9.1 6.0
Turnovers 10.9 8.8
Blocked Shots 1.5 3.6
Steals 5.1 6.3
Fouls 12.9 11.5

Playing Style Advantage: Colgate

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats L-MD COLG
Total Possessions 65.8
Effective Scoring Chances 63.9 63.1
% of Possessions with L-MD COLG
2 Point Attempt 44.3% 46.7%
3 Point Attempt 28.8% 26.5%
Player Fouled 17.5% 19.6%
Turnover 16.6% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 9.6% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken L-MD COLG
Shot Blocked 6.9% 2.7%
Offensive Rebound 24.4% 20.9%