NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring L-MD FAIR
Points 63.7 77.7
Total Points   141.4
Points From 2-Pointers 34.0 37.9
Points From 3-Pointers 21.0 27.0
Points From Free Throws 8.7 12.7
Shooting L-MD FAIR
Field Goals Made 24.0 28.0
Field Goals Attempted 54.0 56.4
Field Goal % 44.5% 49.6%
2 Pointers Made 17.0 19.0
2 Pointers Attempted 32.8 32.6
2 Point Shooting % 51.9% 58.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.0 9.0
3 Pointers Attempted 21.2 23.8
3 Point Shooting % 33.1% 37.9%
Free Throws Made 8.7 12.7
Free Throws Attempted 13.6 17.1
Free Throw % 64.1% 74.0%
Ball Control L-MD FAIR
Rebounds 33.5 30.3
Rebounds - Defensive 24.2 23.4
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 6.9
Turnovers 13.9 7.9
Blocked Shots 1.5 2.3
Steals 4.7 8.6
Fouls 13.3 12.4

Playing Style Advantage: Loyola-MD

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats L-MD FAIR
Total Possessions 67.9
Effective Scoring Chances 63.2 66.9
% of Possessions with L-MD FAIR
2 Point Attempt 42.0% 43.3%
3 Point Attempt 27.1% 31.6%
Player Fouled 18.2% 19.6%
Turnover 20.5% 11.6%
Opponent Steal 12.7% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken L-MD FAIR
Shot Blocked 4.0% 2.8%
Offensive Rebound 28.4% 22.1%