NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring L-MD UNC
Points 55.2 88.4
Total Points   143.6
Points From 2-Pointers 27.8 45.5
Points From 3-Pointers 18.1 24.2
Points From Free Throws 9.3 18.6
Shooting L-MD UNC
Field Goals Made 19.9 30.8
Field Goals Attempted 57.4 57.0
Field Goal % 34.7% 54.1%
2 Pointers Made 13.9 22.8
2 Pointers Attempted 36.8 37.2
2 Point Shooting % 37.7% 61.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.0 8.1
3 Pointers Attempted 20.6 19.8
3 Point Shooting % 29.4% 40.8%
Free Throws Made 9.3 18.6
Free Throws Attempted 14.5 24.7
Free Throw % 64.1% 75.4%
Ball Control L-MD UNC
Rebounds 28.5 41.1
Rebounds - Defensive 20.8 32.1
Rebounds - Offensive 7.8 9.0
Turnovers 12.1 7.1
Blocked Shots 1.6 5.0
Steals 4.1 6.6
Fouls 16.8 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: Loyola-MD

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats L-MD UNC
Total Possessions 70.1
Effective Scoring Chances 65.8 72.0
% of Possessions with L-MD UNC
2 Point Attempt 46.1% 46.6%
3 Point Attempt 25.8% 24.8%
Player Fouled 19.9% 23.9%
Turnover 17.3% 10.1%
Opponent Steal 9.4% 5.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken L-MD UNC
Shot Blocked 8.8% 2.9%
Offensive Rebound 19.5% 30.3%