NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring L-MD BU
Points 61.7 68.7
Total Points   130.4
Points From 2-Pointers 27.3 33.4
Points From 3-Pointers 22.7 22.7
Points From Free Throws 11.6 12.5
Shooting L-MD BU
Field Goals Made 21.3 24.3
Field Goals Attempted 52.1 53.4
Field Goal % 40.8% 45.5%
2 Pointers Made 13.7 16.7
2 Pointers Attempted 30.7 32.0
2 Point Shooting % 44.5% 52.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 21.3 21.4
3 Point Shooting % 35.5% 35.4%
Free Throws Made 11.6 12.5
Free Throws Attempted 18.2 17.3
Free Throw % 64.1% 72.2%
Ball Control L-MD BU
Rebounds 32.7 33.6
Rebounds - Defensive 24.9 26.5
Rebounds - Offensive 7.8 7.1
Turnovers 11.4 9.5
Blocked Shots 1.7 3.6
Steals 5.8 6.6
Fouls 14.1 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: Loyola-MD

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats L-MD BU
Total Possessions 66.6
Effective Scoring Chances 63.0 64.2
% of Possessions with L-MD BU
2 Point Attempt 40.5% 43.1%
3 Point Attempt 28.1% 28.8%
Player Fouled 23.2% 21.1%
Turnover 17.1% 14.3%
Opponent Steal 9.9% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken L-MD BU
Shot Blocked 6.8% 3.2%
Offensive Rebound 22.8% 22.2%