NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring L-MD ULM
Points 67.7 71.8
Total Points   139.5
Points From 2-Pointers 29.2 41.8
Points From 3-Pointers 26.5 14.8
Points From Free Throws 12.0 15.2
Shooting L-MD ULM
Field Goals Made 23.4 25.8
Field Goals Attempted 52.8 54.2
Field Goal % 44.4% 47.7%
2 Pointers Made 14.6 20.9
2 Pointers Attempted 28.2 39.2
2 Point Shooting % 51.7% 53.3%
3 Pointers Made 8.8 4.9
3 Pointers Attempted 24.6 15.0
3 Point Shooting % 35.9% 33.0%
Free Throws Made 12.0 15.2
Free Throws Attempted 18.7 22.7
Free Throw % 64.1% 66.8%
Ball Control L-MD ULM
Rebounds 32.6 33.6
Rebounds - Defensive 23.9 24.6
Rebounds - Offensive 8.7 9.0
Turnovers 12.3 9.0
Blocked Shots 1.7 2.1
Steals 5.2 6.7
Fouls 16.1 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: Loyola-MD

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats L-MD ULM
Total Possessions 68.4
Effective Scoring Chances 64.9 68.3
% of Possessions with L-MD ULM
2 Point Attempt 36.2% 50.3%
3 Point Attempt 31.6% 19.2%
Player Fouled 23.3% 23.6%
Turnover 17.9% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 9.8% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken L-MD ULM
Shot Blocked 3.8% 3.2%
Offensive Rebound 26.1% 27.2%