NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MONT IDST
Points 74.7 69.1
Total Points   143.9
Points From 2-Pointers 42.0 39.5
Points From 3-Pointers 19.8 15.0
Points From Free Throws 12.9 14.7
Shooting MONT IDST
Field Goals Made 27.6 24.7
Field Goals Attempted 53.6 56.0
Field Goal % 51.5% 44.1%
2 Pointers Made 21.0 19.7
2 Pointers Attempted 36.9 40.2
2 Point Shooting % 56.9% 49.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.6 5.0
3 Pointers Attempted 16.7 15.8
3 Point Shooting % 39.4% 31.5%
Free Throws Made 12.9 14.7
Free Throws Attempted 16.1 21.0
Free Throw % 80.1% 70.0%
Ball Control MONT IDST
Rebounds 31.5 31.1
Rebounds - Defensive 25.1 21.2
Rebounds - Offensive 6.4 9.8
Turnovers 10.1 7.8
Blocked Shots 2.3 3.3
Steals 4.1 5.8
Fouls 15.9 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: Montana

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MONT IDST
Total Possessions 66.8
Effective Scoring Chances 63.1 68.9
% of Possessions with MONT IDST
2 Point Attempt 49.5% 51.8%
3 Point Attempt 22.5% 20.4%
Player Fouled 21.4% 23.8%
Turnover 15.1% 11.6%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken MONT IDST
Shot Blocked 6.0% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 23.1% 28.2%