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Montana at Arkansas
Sat Nov 16, 2019
5:00pm ET
Fayetteville, AR
Montana at Arkansas: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Arkansas by 15.5, Total Points: 139
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MONT | adv | ARK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 18-15-0 | 12-21-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 10-11-0 | 8-12-0 | |
| Streak | L3 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 8-5-0 | 7-10-0 | |
| Away | 10-10-0 | 5-11-0 |
Montana Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Home | Northwest Indian College | -- | W by 48 | -- |
| 11/10 | Away | Oregon | +15.5 | L by 14 | +1.5 |
| 11/12 | Home | UC Davis | -2.5 | W by 13 | +10.5 |
| 11/16 | Home | N Dakota St | -8.5 | L by 9 | -17.5 |
| 11/24 | Away | Houston | +26.5 | L by 35 | -8.5 |
| 11/29 | Away | Nevada | +14.5 | L by 11 | +3.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | San Jose St | -3.0 | W by 17 | +14.0 |
| 12/05 | Home | Montana St.-Northern | -- | W by 24 | -- |
| 12/09 | Home | Montana Tech | -- | W by 21 | -- |
| 12/17 | Away | San Jose St | +2.5 | W by 11 | +13.5 |
| 12/19 | Away | UC Davis | +1.5 | W by 12 | +13.5 |
| 12/28 | Away | Weber St | +4.5 | L by 30 | -25.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | Idaho St | -4.5 | W by 8 | +3.5 |
| 01/03 | Away | N Dakota St | -2.0 | W by 10 | +8.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | South Dakota | -12.5 | W by 19 | +6.5 |
| 01/11 | Home | N Colorado | -6.5 | L by 6 | -12.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | N Arizona | -12.5 | W by 43 | +30.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Montana St | -4.0 | W by 10 | +6.0 |
| 01/22 | Home | Weber St | -2.0 | W by 15 | +13.0 |
| 01/25 | Away | Portland St | -5.0 | L by 26 | -31.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Sac State | -6.5 | W by 3 | -3.5 |
| 02/01 | Home | Idaho | -14.5 | W by 3 | -11.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | E Washingtn | -2.0 | L by 13 | -15.0 |
| 02/08 | Away | N Arizona | -6.0 | W by 28 | +22.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | N Colorado | +1.5 | L by 16 | -14.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Montana St | -7.5 | W by 19 | +11.5 |
| 02/22 | Home | Sac State | -13.0 | W by 7 | -6.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | Portland St | -8.5 | W by 9 | +0.5 |
| 02/29 | Away | E Washingtn | +5.5 | L by 10 | -4.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Idaho | -5.5 | W by 23 | +17.5 |
| 03/04 | Home | Idaho St | -8.5 | W by 14 | +5.5 |
| 03/11 | Neutral | Portland St | -6.5 | W by 6 | -0.5 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | Idaho St | -6.5 | W by 14 | +7.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Montana St | -6.5 | L by 15 | -21.5 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | Presbyterian | -7.5 | W by 3 | -4.5 |
| 03/25 | Neutral | Arkansas St | +3.0 | L by 13 | -10.0 |
Arkansas Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Alcorn St | -28.5 | W by 34 | +5.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Gard-Webb | -24.0 | W by 18 | -6.0 |
| 11/13 | Home | Old Dominion | -20.0 | W by 9 | -11.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | NC-Grnsboro | -14.5 | L by 6 | -20.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Stanford | -6.5 | W by 3 | -3.5 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Memphis | -1.0 | L by 5 | -6.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | N Carolina | +3.5 | L by 15 | -11.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Duke | +4.5 | W by 5 | +9.5 |
| 12/04 | Home | Furman | -11.5 | W by 14 | +2.5 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Oklahoma | +3.5 | L by 9 | -5.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Lipscomb | -16.0 | W by 3 | -13.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | Abl Christian | -14.5 | W by 10 | -4.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | NC-Wilmgton | -10.5 | W by 16 | +5.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Auburn | +2.5 | L by 32 | -29.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Georgia | +2.0 | L by 10 | -8.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Florida | +7.5 | L by 22 | -14.5 |
| 01/16 | Home | Texas A&M | +2.5 | W by 1 | +3.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | S Carolina | -3.0 | L by 13 | -16.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Mississippi | +8.5 | L by 26 | -17.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Kentucky | +5.5 | L by 6 | -0.5 |
| 01/31 | Away | Missouri | +5.5 | W by 7 | +12.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | LSU | +5.0 | L by 21 | -16.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Georgia | -3.5 | W by 3 | -0.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | Tennessee | +8.5 | L by 29 | -20.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Miss State | +11.0 | L by 4 | +7.0 |
| 02/20 | Away | Texas A&M | +11.5 | W by 7 | +18.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Missouri | -5.5 | W by 15 | +9.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Vanderbilt | -10.5 | L by 3 | -13.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Kentucky | +13.0 | L by 9 | +4.0 |
| 03/06 | Home | LSU | -4.5 | W by 11 | +6.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | Alabama | +15.5 | L by 4 | +11.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Vanderbilt | -6.0 | W by 5 | -1.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | S Carolina | +5.5 | L by 14 | -8.5 |
| ARK -15.5 | Open | -16.5 | High | -16.5 |
| Last | -16.0 | Low | -15.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 876 games where the closing line favored the home team by 14.5 to 16.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Arkansas won the game 824 times (94.1%).
- The team like Montana won the game 52 times (5.9%).
- The team like Arkansas did better against the spread, going 434-427-15 (50.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.0 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 446 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Montana did better against the spread, going 242-196-8 (55.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.0 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -15.5 | -15.5 | -15.5 |
| Open | -16.5 | -16.5 | -17.0 |
| History | |||
| 11/16 04:54 PM | -- | -15.5 | -- |
| 11/16 04:43 PM | -15.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/16 02:25 PM | -- | -15.5 | -- |
| 11/16 02:12 PM | -15.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/16 01:24 PM | -- | -15.5 | -- |
| 11/16 01:05 PM | -- | -- | -15.5 |
| 11/16 01:03 PM | -15.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/16 11:45 AM | -- | -16.0 | -- |
| 11/16 11:35 AM | -- | -- | -16.0 |
| 11/16 11:29 AM | -16.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/16 09:35 AM | -- | -- | -17.0 |
| 11/16 08:54 AM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/16 01:45 AM | -- | -- | -17.0 |
| 11/15 11:34 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 11/15 06:28 PM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/15 06:04 PM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
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