NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MONT SUU
Points 80.4 73.7
Total Points   154.1
Points From 2-Pointers 48.1 42.1
Points From 3-Pointers 20.1 15.0
Points From Free Throws 12.2 16.6
Shooting MONT SUU
Field Goals Made 30.7 26.1
Field Goals Attempted 59.9 58.4
Field Goal % 51.3% 44.6%
2 Pointers Made 24.0 21.1
2 Pointers Attempted 41.4 41.7
2 Point Shooting % 58.1% 50.5%
3 Pointers Made 6.7 5.0
3 Pointers Attempted 18.5 16.7
3 Point Shooting % 36.2% 29.9%
Free Throws Made 12.2 16.6
Free Throws Attempted 15.3 23.3
Free Throw % 80.1% 71.3%
Ball Control MONT SUU
Rebounds 34.5 32.3
Rebounds - Defensive 26.7 22.9
Rebounds - Offensive 7.7 9.4
Turnovers 9.6 8.0
Blocked Shots 2.9 2.8
Steals 4.1 5.3
Fouls 16.5 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: S Utah

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MONT SUU
Total Possessions 70.9
Effective Scoring Chances 69.1 72.3
% of Possessions with MONT SUU
2 Point Attempt 51.9% 51.2%
3 Point Attempt 23.2% 20.5%
Player Fouled 20.2% 23.2%
Turnover 13.5% 11.2%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 5.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken MONT SUU
Shot Blocked 4.9% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 25.2% 25.9%