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Montana at USC
Sat Nov 28, 2020
9:00pm ET
Los Angeles, CA
Montana at USC: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Southern California by 11, Total Points: 138.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MONT | adv | USC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 18-15-0 | 16-17-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 10-11-0 | 11-11-0 | |
| Streak | L3 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 8-5-0 | 7-8-0 | |
| Away | 10-10-0 | 9-9-0 |
Montana Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Home | Northwest Indian College | -- | W by 48 | -- |
| 11/10 | Away | Oregon | +15.5 | L by 14 | +1.5 |
| 11/12 | Home | UC Davis | -2.5 | W by 13 | +10.5 |
| 11/16 | Home | N Dakota St | -8.5 | L by 9 | -17.5 |
| 11/24 | Away | Houston | +26.5 | L by 35 | -8.5 |
| 11/29 | Away | Nevada | +14.5 | L by 11 | +3.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | San Jose St | -3.0 | W by 17 | +14.0 |
| 12/05 | Home | Montana St.-Northern | -- | W by 24 | -- |
| 12/09 | Home | Montana Tech | -- | W by 21 | -- |
| 12/17 | Away | San Jose St | +2.5 | W by 11 | +13.5 |
| 12/19 | Away | UC Davis | +1.5 | W by 12 | +13.5 |
| 12/28 | Away | Weber St | +4.5 | L by 30 | -25.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | Idaho St | -4.5 | W by 8 | +3.5 |
| 01/03 | Away | N Dakota St | -2.0 | W by 10 | +8.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | South Dakota | -12.5 | W by 19 | +6.5 |
| 01/11 | Home | N Colorado | -6.5 | L by 6 | -12.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | N Arizona | -12.5 | W by 43 | +30.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Montana St | -4.0 | W by 10 | +6.0 |
| 01/22 | Home | Weber St | -2.0 | W by 15 | +13.0 |
| 01/25 | Away | Portland St | -5.0 | L by 26 | -31.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Sac State | -6.5 | W by 3 | -3.5 |
| 02/01 | Home | Idaho | -14.5 | W by 3 | -11.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | E Washingtn | -2.0 | L by 13 | -15.0 |
| 02/08 | Away | N Arizona | -6.0 | W by 28 | +22.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | N Colorado | +1.5 | L by 16 | -14.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Montana St | -7.5 | W by 19 | +11.5 |
| 02/22 | Home | Sac State | -13.0 | W by 7 | -6.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | Portland St | -8.5 | W by 9 | +0.5 |
| 02/29 | Away | E Washingtn | +5.5 | L by 10 | -4.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Idaho | -5.5 | W by 23 | +17.5 |
| 03/04 | Home | Idaho St | -8.5 | W by 14 | +5.5 |
| 03/11 | Neutral | Portland St | -6.5 | W by 6 | -0.5 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | Idaho St | -6.5 | W by 14 | +7.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Montana St | -6.5 | L by 15 | -21.5 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | Presbyterian | -7.5 | W by 3 | -4.5 |
| 03/25 | Neutral | Arkansas St | +3.0 | L by 13 | -10.0 |
USC Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Neutral | Kansas St | -3.5 | W by 13 | +9.5 |
| 11/09 | Home | CS Bakersfld | -23.5 | W by 26 | +2.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | UC Irvine | -11.5 | L by 10 | -21.5 |
| 11/19 | Home | Brown | -18.0 | W by 11 | -7.0 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Seton Hall | -4.0 | W by 8 | +4.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Oklahoma | -2.5 | L by 2 | -4.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | E Washingtn | -17.5 | W by 28 | +10.5 |
| 12/02 | Neutral | Gonzaga | +3.5 | L by 13 | -9.5 |
| 12/10 | Home | Lg Beach St | -14.0 | L by 5 | -19.0 |
| 12/17 | Away | Auburn | +8.5 | L by 16 | -7.5 |
| 12/19 | Away | Alabama St | -18.5 | W by 20 | +1.5 |
| 12/28 | Away | Oregon | +2.5 | L by 8 | -5.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | Oregon St | -8.5 | L by 16 | -24.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | California | -7.5 | W by 8 | +0.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Stanford | -5.0 | W by 14 | +9.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Wash State | -7.0 | L by 8 | -15.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Colorado | +12.0 | L by 10 | +2.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Arizona | +21.0 | L by 15 | +6.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Arizona St | +4.5 | L by 15 | -10.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | UCLA | -4.5 | L by 15 | -19.5 |
| 02/01 | Home | Oregon | +2.5 | L by 9 | -6.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Oregon St | -9.5 | W by 28 | +18.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | California | +3.0 | L by 6 | -3.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Stanford | +2.0 | L by 31 | -29.0 |
| 02/15 | Home | Utah | -1.5 | W by 4 | +2.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Colorado | +2.0 | L by 3 | -1.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | UCLA | +4.5 | W by 6 | +10.5 |
| 02/29 | Away | Wash State | +8.0 | L by 3 | +5.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Washington | +4.5 | W by 7 | +11.5 |
| 03/07 | Home | Arizona St | -9.5 | W by 8 | -1.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Arizona | +7.5 | W by 13 | +20.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Washington | -3.5 | W by 6 | +2.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Arizona | +9.5 | L by 21 | -11.5 |
| USC -11.0 | Open | -11.5 | High | -11.5 |
| Last | -10.5 | Low | -10.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1601 games where the closing line favored the home team by 10 to 12 points. In these games:
- The team like Southern California won the game 1386 times (86.6%).
- The team like Montana won the game 215 times (13.4%).
- The team like Montana did better against the spread, going 803-760-38 (51.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 9 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Southern California did better against the spread, going 7-2 (77.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.8 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -11.0 | -11.5 | -10.5 |
| Open | -11.5 | -11.5 | -11.5 |
| History | |||
| 11/28 08:59 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 08:47 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 08:45 PM | -- | -- | -10.5 |
| 11/28 08:08 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 07:45 PM | -- | -- | -11.0 |
| 11/28 07:29 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 07:25 PM | -- | -- | -10.5 |
| 11/28 06:49 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 06:45 PM | -- | -- | -10.5 |
| 11/28 06:05 PM | -- | -- | -11.0 |
| 11/28 06:05 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 04:55 PM | -- | -- | -11.0 |
| 11/28 03:53 PM | -- | -11.5 | -- |
| 11/28 03:08 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 11:44 AM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 11:20 AM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 10:05 AM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 09:14 AM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 02:07 AM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 09:55 PM | -- | -- | -11.5 |
| 11/27 09:53 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 08:29 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
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