NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MONT PRST
Points 77.2 69.1
Total Points   146.4
Points From 2-Pointers 38.1 35.4
Points From 3-Pointers 24.2 18.0
Points From Free Throws 14.9 15.7
Shooting MONT PRST
Field Goals Made 27.1 23.7
Field Goals Attempted 55.3 59.4
Field Goal % 49.0% 39.9%
2 Pointers Made 19.1 17.7
2 Pointers Attempted 33.4 41.0
2 Point Shooting % 57.1% 43.2%
3 Pointers Made 8.1 6.0
3 Pointers Attempted 21.9 18.5
3 Point Shooting % 36.8% 32.4%
Free Throws Made 14.9 15.7
Free Throws Attempted 18.6 22.7
Free Throw % 80.1% 69.4%
Ball Control MONT PRST
Rebounds 35.1 34.6
Rebounds - Defensive 28.3 23.3
Rebounds - Offensive 6.8 11.3
Turnovers 10.6 8.3
Blocked Shots 3.1 2.9
Steals 3.8 5.8
Fouls 15.3 16.4

Playing Style Advantage: Montana

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MONT PRST
Total Possessions 70.2
Effective Scoring Chances 66.5 73.2
% of Possessions with MONT PRST
2 Point Attempt 42.7% 49.5%
3 Point Attempt 28.0% 22.3%
Player Fouled 23.3% 21.8%
Turnover 15.0% 11.8%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 5.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken MONT PRST
Shot Blocked 5.0% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 22.6% 28.5%