NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring STET JAC
Points 74.8 72.7
Total Points   147.6
Points From 2-Pointers 32.7 40.0
Points From 3-Pointers 25.4 20.4
Points From Free Throws 16.7 12.3
Shooting STET JAC
Field Goals Made 24.8 26.8
Field Goals Attempted 52.4 61.8
Field Goal % 47.4% 43.4%
2 Pointers Made 16.3 20.0
2 Pointers Attempted 29.6 42.0
2 Point Shooting % 55.2% 47.6%
3 Pointers Made 8.5 6.8
3 Pointers Attempted 22.7 19.8
3 Point Shooting % 37.3% 34.3%
Free Throws Made 16.7 12.3
Free Throws Attempted 22.2 17.7
Free Throw % 75.1% 69.8%
Ball Control STET JAC
Rebounds 31.5 37.2
Rebounds - Defensive 23.6 22.9
Rebounds - Offensive 7.9 14.3
Turnovers 9.8 9.0
Blocked Shots 2.8 2.1
Steals 5.0 6.0
Fouls 13.5 18.0

Playing Style Advantage: Jacksonville

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats STET JAC
Total Possessions 67.9
Effective Scoring Chances 66.0 73.3
% of Possessions with STET JAC
2 Point Attempt 38.7% 50.4%
3 Point Attempt 29.7% 23.7%
Player Fouled 26.4% 19.9%
Turnover 14.4% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 8.8% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken STET JAC
Shot Blocked 3.5% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 25.6% 37.8%