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Stetson vs. Liberty
Fri Mar 5, 2021
2:00pm ET
Jacksonville, FL
(Neutral Site)
Stetson vs. Liberty: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Liberty by 10, Total Points: 133.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | STET | adv | LIB |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 16-16-0 | 12-17-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 9-10-0 | 4-13-0 | |
| Streak | L3 | L4 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 6-7-0 | 7-5-0 | |
| Away | 10-9-0 | 5-12-0 |
Stetson Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Trinity Baptist | -- | W by 55 | -- |
| 11/11 | Away | UNLV | +10.5 | L by 16 | -5.5 |
| 11/13 | Away | Houston | +32.5 | L by 31 | +1.5 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | WI-Milwkee | +4.0 | W by 18 | +22.0 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Central Mich | -4.0 | W by 10 | +6.0 |
| 11/26 | Away | UCF | +12.5 | W by 3 | +15.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Coastal Georgia | -- | W by 45 | -- |
| 12/03 | Away | Chicago St | -7.5 | L by 23 | -30.5 |
| 12/05 | Away | Charlotte | +8.0 | L by 23 | -15.0 |
| 12/10 | Home | Florida Christian College | -- | W by 80 | -- |
| 12/17 | Away | Neb Omaha | -1.5 | L by 8 | -9.5 |
| 12/19 | Away | Florida Intl | +5.0 | W by 12 | +17.0 |
| 12/22 | Away | Cincinnati | +21.0 | L by 8 | +13.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | Charlotte | +3.5 | W by 4 | +7.5 |
| 01/04 | Home | N Florida | -7.5 | W by 1 | -6.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Jacksonville | -7.5 | W by 16 | +8.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Kennesaw St | +4.5 | L by 18 | -13.5 |
| 01/12 | Away | Queens | -2.0 | W by 18 | +16.0 |
| 01/15 | Home | Chicago St | -10.0 | L by 7 | -17.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Fla Gulf Cst | +2.5 | L by 24 | -21.5 |
| 01/25 | Home | Austin Peay | -4.0 | W by 1 | -3.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Lipscomb | +2.5 | W by 21 | +23.5 |
| 02/01 | Away | N Alabama | +3.0 | L by 7 | -4.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Central Ark | -4.5 | W by 11 | +6.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | Bellarmine | -3.0 | W by 7 | +4.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | E Kentucky | +2.0 | W by 8 | +10.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | Fla Gulf Cst | -5.0 | W by 1 | -4.0 |
| 02/22 | Home | Queens | -5.5 | L by 8 | -13.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Kennesaw St | -2.5 | W by 12 | +9.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Jacksonville | -1.0 | W by 13 | +12.0 |
| 03/01 | Away | N Florida | +2.0 | L by 19 | -17.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | Queens | -5.5 | W by 12 | +6.5 |
| 03/07 | Home | Jacksonville | -6.5 | W by 1 | -5.5 |
| 03/10 | Home | Austin Peay | -4.5 | W by 3 | -1.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Connecticut | +27.5 | L by 39 | -11.5 |
Liberty Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Mid-Atlantic Christian | -- | W by 60 | -- |
| 11/10 | Neutral | Charlotte | -4.5 | W by 12 | +7.5 |
| 11/16 | Neutral | Furman | -2.0 | W by 14 | +12.0 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | Wichita St | -4.0 | W by 17 | +13.0 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Vermont | -5.0 | W by 10 | +5.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | Maryland ES | -25.0 | W by 37 | +12.0 |
| 11/30 | Away | Fla Atlantic | +7.5 | L by 25 | -17.5 |
| 12/01 | Neutral | Col Charlestn | -4.5 | L by 9 | -13.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | Miss Val St | -30.5 | W by 35 | +4.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Grd Canyon | -4.5 | L by 5 | -9.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | TN State | -15.0 | W by 22 | +7.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | St. Andrews Presbyterian | -- | W by 73 | -- |
| 12/20 | Away | Utah Valley | -3.5 | W by 16 | +12.5 |
| 12/30 | Neutral | Alabama | +9.5 | L by 45 | -35.5 |
| 01/01 | Home | Boyce | -- | W by 42 | -- |
| 01/06 | Away | W Kentucky | -3.5 | L by 2 | -5.5 |
| 01/10 | Home | Jksnville St | -11.0 | L by 10 | -21.0 |
| 01/14 | Away | LA Tech | +2.5 | L by 4 | -1.5 |
| 01/18 | Home | Florida Intl | -13.5 | W by 9 | -4.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Sam Hous St | -10.0 | W by 16 | +6.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Jksnville St | -5.5 | L by 11 | -16.5 |
| 02/01 | Away | N Mex State | -5.0 | L by 6 | -11.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | TX El Paso | -3.0 | W by 2 | -1.0 |
| 02/08 | Home | Middle Tenn | -11.0 | W by 35 | +24.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | LA Tech | -2.5 | W by 3 | +0.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Sam Hous St | -4.5 | L by 10 | -14.5 |
| 02/22 | Away | Florida Intl | -7.5 | L by 5 | -12.5 |
| 02/29 | Home | N Mex State | -14.5 | W by 25 | +10.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | TX El Paso | -9.0 | L by 16 | -25.0 |
| 03/05 | Away | Middle Tenn | -5.0 | L by 8 | -13.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | W Kentucky | -6.5 | W by 3 | -3.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | TX El Paso | -3.5 | L by 9 | -12.5 |
| LIB -10.0 | Open | -10.5 | High | -10.5 |
| Last | -10.5 | Low | -10.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2087 games where the closing line favored the home team by 9 to 11 points. In these games:
- The team like Liberty won the game 1749 times (83.8%).
- The team like Stetson won the game 338 times (16.2%).
- The team like Stetson did better against the spread, going 1041-1003-43 (50.9% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 689 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Stetson did better against the spread, going 344-318-27 (52.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -10.0 | -10.0 | -- |
| Open | -10.5 | -10.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 03/05 01:53 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/05 12:47 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/05 11:11 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/05 10:29 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/05 09:53 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/05 08:24 AM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 03/05 08:14 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
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