NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring STET FLA
Points 73.6 92.2
Total Points   165.8
Points From 2-Pointers 36.0 51.4
Points From 3-Pointers 22.0 24.6
Points From Free Throws 15.6 16.2
Shooting STET FLA
Field Goals Made 25.3 33.9
Field Goals Attempted 60.1 67.9
Field Goal % 42.1% 49.9%
2 Pointers Made 18.0 25.7
2 Pointers Attempted 38.6 45.8
2 Point Shooting % 46.6% 56.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 8.2
3 Pointers Attempted 21.5 22.1
3 Point Shooting % 34.1% 37.1%
Free Throws Made 15.6 16.2
Free Throws Attempted 20.8 22.1
Free Throw % 75.1% 73.2%
Ball Control STET FLA
Rebounds 29.6 45.1
Rebounds - Defensive 21.7 29.4
Rebounds - Offensive 7.9 15.6
Turnovers 9.2 7.2
Blocked Shots 2.5 4.5
Steals 4.6 5.8
Fouls 15.3 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: Stetson

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats STET FLA
Total Possessions 73.3
Effective Scoring Chances 71.9 81.7
% of Possessions with STET FLA
2 Point Attempt 46.5% 50.9%
3 Point Attempt 25.9% 24.6%
Player Fouled 21.6% 20.8%
Turnover 12.6% 9.8%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken STET FLA
Shot Blocked 6.7% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 21.1% 41.8%