NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring STET BELL
Points 77.1 69.8
Total Points   147.0
Points From 2-Pointers 32.9 39.0
Points From 3-Pointers 29.7 22.8
Points From Free Throws 14.5 8.1
Shooting STET BELL
Field Goals Made 26.4 27.1
Field Goals Attempted 56.1 61.7
Field Goal % 47.0% 43.9%
2 Pointers Made 16.5 19.5
2 Pointers Attempted 28.8 39.3
2 Point Shooting % 57.1% 49.6%
3 Pointers Made 9.9 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 27.3 22.3
3 Point Shooting % 36.3% 34.0%
Free Throws Made 14.5 8.1
Free Throws Attempted 19.3 10.7
Free Throw % 75.1% 75.6%
Ball Control STET BELL
Rebounds 36.7 31.7
Rebounds - Defensive 28.5 24.4
Rebounds - Offensive 8.2 7.3
Turnovers 8.0 7.3
Blocked Shots 2.4 1.4
Steals 3.7 4.1
Fouls 11.2 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: Stetson

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats STET BELL
Total Possessions 67.9
Effective Scoring Chances 68.1 67.9
% of Possessions with STET BELL
2 Point Attempt 37.6% 51.6%
3 Point Attempt 35.6% 29.3%
Player Fouled 22.1% 16.5%
Turnover 11.8% 10.7%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 5.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken STET BELL
Shot Blocked 2.2% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 25.2% 20.4%