NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring STET NORAL
Points 77.9 75.1
Total Points   153.0
Points From 2-Pointers 35.7 39.7
Points From 3-Pointers 23.6 22.2
Points From Free Throws 18.6 13.2
Shooting STET NORAL
Field Goals Made 25.7 27.3
Field Goals Attempted 55.1 61.9
Field Goal % 46.7% 44.0%
2 Pointers Made 17.9 19.8
2 Pointers Attempted 34.1 41.5
2 Point Shooting % 52.4% 47.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.9 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 21.0 20.4
3 Point Shooting % 37.5% 36.3%
Free Throws Made 18.6 13.2
Free Throws Attempted 24.7 17.1
Free Throw % 75.1% 77.2%
Ball Control STET NORAL
Rebounds 34.7 34.7
Rebounds - Defensive 26.7 24.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.0 9.9
Turnovers 7.8 7.5
Blocked Shots 3.1 2.5
Steals 3.8 4.2
Fouls 14.3 17.3

Playing Style Advantage: Stetson

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats STET NORAL
Total Possessions 69.6
Effective Scoring Chances 69.8 72.0
% of Possessions with STET NORAL
2 Point Attempt 43.3% 51.4%
3 Point Attempt 26.7% 25.3%
Player Fouled 24.8% 20.5%
Turnover 11.3% 10.7%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 5.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken STET NORAL
Shot Blocked 4.1% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 24.5% 27.1%