NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring STET PFW
Points 73.5 77.8
Total Points   151.3
Points From 2-Pointers 34.4 39.9
Points From 3-Pointers 25.0 27.7
Points From Free Throws 14.1 10.2
Shooting STET PFW
Field Goals Made 25.5 29.2
Field Goals Attempted 54.5 63.7
Field Goal % 46.9% 45.8%
2 Pointers Made 17.2 19.9
2 Pointers Attempted 31.4 38.4
2 Point Shooting % 54.8% 52.0%
3 Pointers Made 8.3 9.2
3 Pointers Attempted 23.1 25.3
3 Point Shooting % 36.1% 36.5%
Free Throws Made 14.1 10.2
Free Throws Attempted 18.8 14.2
Free Throw % 75.1% 71.8%
Ball Control STET PFW
Rebounds 35.4 32.7
Rebounds - Defensive 28.2 24.4
Rebounds - Offensive 7.2 8.4
Turnovers 12.4 7.7
Blocked Shots 2.7 2.4
Steals 4.3 7.3
Fouls 12.8 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: Stetson

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats STET PFW
Total Possessions 71.4
Effective Scoring Chances 66.1 72.1
% of Possessions with STET PFW
2 Point Attempt 39.4% 47.5%
3 Point Attempt 29.1% 31.3%
Player Fouled 21.6% 17.9%
Turnover 17.4% 10.7%
Opponent Steal 10.2% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken STET PFW
Shot Blocked 3.8% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 22.7% 22.8%