NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring STET FIU
Points 80.3 74.7
Total Points   155.0
Points From 2-Pointers 35.0 39.5
Points From 3-Pointers 30.5 25.9
Points From Free Throws 14.8 9.3
Shooting STET FIU
Field Goals Made 27.7 28.4
Field Goals Attempted 55.5 64.2
Field Goal % 49.9% 44.2%
2 Pointers Made 17.5 19.7
2 Pointers Attempted 32.8 38.9
2 Point Shooting % 53.4% 50.8%
3 Pointers Made 10.2 8.6
3 Pointers Attempted 22.6 25.3
3 Point Shooting % 44.9% 34.0%
Free Throws Made 14.8 9.3
Free Throws Attempted 19.6 14.4
Free Throw % 75.1% 65.0%
Ball Control STET FIU
Rebounds 37.3 31.7
Rebounds - Defensive 27.8 20.9
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 10.8
Turnovers 13.0 9.0
Blocked Shots 2.9 3.4
Steals 4.7 7.9
Fouls 12.7 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: Stetson

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats STET FIU
Total Possessions 71.3
Effective Scoring Chances 67.8 73.1
% of Possessions with STET FIU
2 Point Attempt 40.0% 46.7%
3 Point Attempt 27.5% 30.4%
Player Fouled 21.7% 17.8%
Turnover 18.2% 12.6%
Opponent Steal 11.0% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken STET FIU
Shot Blocked 5.3% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 31.2% 28.0%