NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring STET QNC
Points 82.5 78.6
Total Points   161.1
Points From 2-Pointers 42.6 40.4
Points From 3-Pointers 25.6 25.4
Points From Free Throws 14.3 12.7
Shooting STET QNC
Field Goals Made 29.9 28.7
Field Goals Attempted 60.0 64.3
Field Goal % 49.8% 44.7%
2 Pointers Made 21.3 20.2
2 Pointers Attempted 36.1 39.4
2 Point Shooting % 59.1% 51.3%
3 Pointers Made 8.5 8.5
3 Pointers Attempted 23.9 24.9
3 Point Shooting % 35.7% 34.1%
Free Throws Made 14.3 12.7
Free Throws Attempted 19.0 18.0
Free Throw % 75.1% 71.0%
Ball Control STET QNC
Rebounds 36.1 34.9
Rebounds - Defensive 27.6 24.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 10.5
Turnovers 9.3 8.2
Blocked Shots 4.0 2.2
Steals 4.7 5.5
Fouls 14.5 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: Queens

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats STET QNC
Total Possessions 72.4
Effective Scoring Chances 71.6 74.7
% of Possessions with STET QNC
2 Point Attempt 44.1% 46.6%
3 Point Attempt 29.2% 29.4%
Player Fouled 22.0% 20.0%
Turnover 12.8% 11.4%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken STET QNC
Shot Blocked 3.5% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 25.9% 27.6%