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Iowa at Purdue
Fri Dec 3, 2021
9:00pm ET
West Lafayette, IN
Iowa at Purdue: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Purdue by 15.5, Total Points: 158
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | IOWA | adv | PUR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 13-20-1 | 21-16-2 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 7-13-1 | 9-13-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-5-1 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 7-10-1 | 7-8-1 | |
| Away | 6-10-0 | 14-8-1 |
Iowa Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Home | North Dakota | -20.5 | W by 42 | +21.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Alabama St | -31.5 | W by 31 | -0.5 |
| 11/14 | Away | Creighton | +12.0 | L by 8 | +4.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Arkansas St | -20.5 | W by 14 | -6.5 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Oklahoma | +1.5 | L by 12 | -10.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Seton Hall | -1.5 | W by 13 | +11.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | N Florida | -26.5 | W by 25 | -1.5 |
| 12/04 | Away | Purdue | +13.5 | L by 19 | -5.5 |
| 12/07 | Away | Iowa St | +8.0 | L by 25 | -17.0 |
| 12/10 | Home | Michigan | -4.0 | L by 10 | -14.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | Florida A&M | -24.0 | W by 36 | +12.0 |
| 12/20 | Home | Maryland BC | -27.5 | W by 22 | -5.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | N Illinois | -18.0 | W by 29 | +11.0 |
| 01/02 | Away | Wisconsin | +5.5 | L by 11 | -5.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Rutgers | -6.0 | W by 9 | +3.0 |
| 01/12 | Home | Nebraska | -4.5 | W by 18 | +13.5 |
| 01/15 | Away | Minnesota | +3.0 | W by 9 | +12.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Purdue | +6.5 | L by 14 | -7.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | Maryland | -5.0 | L by 2 | -7.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Michigan | +1.5 | W by 10 | +11.5 |
| 01/30 | Away | Indiana | +1.5 | L by 6 | -4.5 |
| 02/02 | Home | Ohio St | -6.0 | W by 2 | -4.0 |
| 02/08 | Away | Penn St | -1.0 | L by 10 | -11.0 |
| 02/11 | Home | Minnesota | -7.5 | W by 5 | -2.5 |
| 02/14 | Away | Maryland | +5.5 | L by 12 | -6.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Wisconsin | -1.0 | W by 2 | +1.0 |
| 02/20 | Away | Michigan St | +9.5 | W by 7 | +16.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | Illinois | +9.5 | L by 10 | -0.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Penn St | -9.0 | W by 9 | 0.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Northwestern | +2.5 | W by 7 | +9.5 |
| 03/10 | Home | Illinois | +2.0 | L by 12 | -10.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Ohio St | +2.5 | L by 12 | -9.5 |
| 03/19 | Home | Kansas St | -5.5 | W by 9 | +3.5 |
| 03/24 | Away | Utah | +5.0 | L by 9 | -4.0 |
Purdue Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Samford | -19.5 | W by 53 | +33.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Morehead St | -29.5 | W by 30 | +0.5 |
| 11/13 | Home | Xavier | -17.0 | W by 12 | -5.0 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Gonzaga | -5.5 | W by 10 | +4.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Tennessee | -3.5 | W by 4 | +0.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Marquette | -3.0 | W by 3 | 0.0 |
| 11/28 | Home | TX Southern | -32.0 | W by 32 | 0.0 |
| 12/01 | Away | Northwestern | -5.5 | L by 4 | -9.5 |
| 12/04 | Home | Iowa | -13.5 | W by 19 | +5.5 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Alabama | -5.5 | W by 6 | +0.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Arizona | +2.0 | W by 8 | +10.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | Jacksonville | -32.5 | W by 43 | +10.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | E Kentucky | -29.0 | W by 27 | -2.0 |
| 01/02 | Away | Maryland | -6.5 | W by 14 | +7.5 |
| 01/05 | Home | Illinois | -10.5 | W by 5 | -5.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | Nebraska | -7.5 | L by 16 | -23.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Penn St | -18.0 | W by 17 | -1.0 |
| 01/16 | Away | Indiana | -9.5 | W by 21 | +11.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Iowa | -6.5 | W by 14 | +7.5 |
| 01/23 | Home | Michigan | -18.0 | W by 32 | +14.0 |
| 01/28 | Away | Rutgers | -10.0 | W by 8 | -2.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | Northwestern | -14.0 | W by 9 | -5.0 |
| 02/04 | Away | Wisconsin | -2.5 | W by 6 | +3.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Indiana | -17.0 | W by 20 | +3.0 |
| 02/15 | Home | Minnesota | -16.5 | W by 8 | -8.5 |
| 02/18 | Away | Ohio St | -8.0 | L by 4 | -12.0 |
| 02/22 | Home | Rutgers | -14.5 | W by 28 | +13.5 |
| 02/25 | Away | Michigan | -13.5 | W by 8 | -5.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Michigan St | -10.0 | W by 6 | -4.0 |
| 03/05 | Away | Illinois | +2.5 | W by 6 | +8.5 |
| 03/10 | Home | Wisconsin | -10.0 | W by 8 | -2.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Michigan St | -7.5 | W by 5 | -2.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Wisconsin | -6.0 | L by 1 | -7.0 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Grambling St | -27.0 | W by 28 | +1.0 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | Utah St | -11.5 | W by 39 | +27.5 |
| 03/29 | Neutral | Gonzaga | -4.5 | W by 12 | +7.5 |
| 03/31 | Neutral | Tennessee | -3.0 | W by 6 | +3.0 |
| 04/06 | Neutral | NC State | -9.5 | W by 13 | +3.5 |
| 04/08 | Neutral | Connecticut | +7.0 | L by 15 | -8.0 |
| PUR -15.5 | Open | -10.5 | High | -15.5 |
| Last | -13.0 | Low | -10.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 995 games where the closing line favored the home team by 14.5 to 16.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Purdue won the game 925 times (93.0%).
- The team like Iowa won the game 70 times (7.0%).
- The team like Iowa did better against the spread, going 508-473-14 (51.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 20 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Iowa did better against the spread, going 11-9 (55.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 5.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -14.5 | -15.5 | -15.5 |
| Open | -11.5 | -12.0 | -12.0 |
| History | |||
| 12/03 08:58 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/03 08:19 PM | -15.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/03 08:14 PM | -- | -15.5 | -- |
| 12/03 07:58 PM | -15.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/03 07:55 PM | -- | -- | -15.5 |
| 12/03 07:54 PM | -- | -15.0 | -- |
| 12/03 06:20 PM | -13.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/03 05:17 PM | -13.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/03 05:15 PM | -- | -- | -13.0 |
| 12/03 04:10 PM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/03 03:37 PM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/03 03:07 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/03 02:44 PM | -- | -13.0 | -- |
| 12/03 02:38 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/03 02:07 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/03 12:53 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/03 12:29 PM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/03 12:14 PM | -- | -12.5 | -- |
| 12/03 11:58 AM | -13.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/03 11:45 AM | -- | -- | -12.5 |
| 12/03 11:26 AM | -13.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/03 11:25 AM | -- | -- | -13.0 |
| 12/03 11:24 AM | -- | -13.0 | -- |
| 12/03 10:22 AM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/03 10:04 AM | -- | -12.5 | -- |
| 12/03 09:55 AM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/03 09:55 AM | -- | -- | -12.5 |
| 12/03 09:25 AM | -- | -- | -11.5 |
| 12/03 09:22 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/03 08:45 AM | -- | -- | -11.5 |
| 12/03 08:31 AM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/03 08:14 AM | -- | -11.5 | -- |
| 12/03 08:13 AM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/03 07:35 AM | -- | -- | -11.5 |
| 12/03 07:34 AM | -- | -12.0 | -- |
| 12/03 07:16 AM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/03 04:55 AM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/03 03:37 AM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/03 02:14 AM | -- | -12.0 | -- |
| 12/03 02:04 AM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/02 11:05 PM | -- | -- | -12.0 |
| 12/02 10:16 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/02 09:44 PM | -- | -12.0 | -- |
| 12/02 09:28 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/02 08:04 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/02 07:24 PM | -- | -11.5 | -- |
| 12/02 06:58 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/02 06:44 PM | -- | -12.0 | -- |
| 12/02 05:44 PM | -- | -12.0 | -- |
| 12/02 05:31 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
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