NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IOWA MINN
Points 80.5 80.2
Total Points   160.7
Points From 2-Pointers 45.6 39.9
Points From 3-Pointers 19.3 25.7
Points From Free Throws 15.5 14.6
Shooting IOWA MINN
Field Goals Made 29.3 28.5
Field Goals Attempted 61.2 58.9
Field Goal % 47.8% 48.4%
2 Pointers Made 22.8 20.0
2 Pointers Attempted 44.7 36.8
2 Point Shooting % 51.0% 54.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.4 8.6
3 Pointers Attempted 16.5 22.1
3 Point Shooting % 39.1% 38.8%
Free Throws Made 15.5 14.6
Free Throws Attempted 20.1 21.5
Free Throw % 77.4% 67.9%
Ball Control IOWA MINN
Rebounds 33.3 35.1
Rebounds - Defensive 24.5 25.4
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 9.7
Turnovers 8.5 10.4
Blocked Shots 4.0 3.9
Steals 6.3 5.6
Fouls 14.2 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: Minnesota

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IOWA MINN
Total Possessions 72.5
Effective Scoring Chances 72.8 71.8
% of Possessions with IOWA MINN
2 Point Attempt 54.0% 44.0%
3 Point Attempt 19.9% 26.4%
Player Fouled 20.2% 19.5%
Turnover 11.7% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken IOWA MINN
Shot Blocked 6.8% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 25.6% 28.3%