NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IOWA RUTG
Points 75.7 70.1
Total Points   145.8
Points From 2-Pointers 38.6 37.6
Points From 3-Pointers 20.4 17.9
Points From Free Throws 16.7 14.6
Shooting IOWA RUTG
Field Goals Made 26.1 24.8
Field Goals Attempted 59.2 62.5
Field Goal % 44.1% 39.6%
2 Pointers Made 19.3 18.8
2 Pointers Attempted 39.5 43.1
2 Point Shooting % 48.8% 43.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.8 6.0
3 Pointers Attempted 19.6 19.4
3 Point Shooting % 34.7% 30.8%
Free Throws Made 16.7 14.6
Free Throws Attempted 21.5 21.6
Free Throw % 77.4% 67.7%
Ball Control IOWA RUTG
Rebounds 38.6 37.9
Rebounds - Defensive 28.8 25.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.8 12.4
Turnovers 11.1 10.1
Blocked Shots 4.8 5.0
Steals 6.0 6.8
Fouls 14.1 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: Iowa

Expected Effect: +0.9 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IOWA RUTG
Total Possessions 73.1
Effective Scoring Chances 71.7 75.4
% of Possessions with IOWA RUTG
2 Point Attempt 46.6% 49.3%
3 Point Attempt 23.1% 22.2%
Player Fouled 20.3% 19.3%
Turnover 15.3% 13.8%
Opponent Steal 9.2% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken IOWA RUTG
Shot Blocked 8.2% 8.3%
Offensive Rebound 27.8% 30.1%