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Iowa at Northwestern
Sun Jan 17, 2021
12:00pm ET
Evanston, IL
Iowa at Northwestern: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Iowa by 9.5, Total Points: 158
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | IOWA | adv | NW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 13-20-1 | 18-14-2 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 7-13-1 | 13-8-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-5-1 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 7-10-1 | 9-7-1 | |
| Away | 6-10-0 | 9-7-1 |
Iowa Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Home | North Dakota | -20.5 | W by 42 | +21.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Alabama St | -31.5 | W by 31 | -0.5 |
| 11/14 | Away | Creighton | +12.0 | L by 8 | +4.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Arkansas St | -20.5 | W by 14 | -6.5 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Oklahoma | +1.5 | L by 12 | -10.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Seton Hall | -1.5 | W by 13 | +11.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | N Florida | -26.5 | W by 25 | -1.5 |
| 12/04 | Away | Purdue | +13.5 | L by 19 | -5.5 |
| 12/07 | Away | Iowa St | +8.0 | L by 25 | -17.0 |
| 12/10 | Home | Michigan | -4.0 | L by 10 | -14.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | Florida A&M | -24.0 | W by 36 | +12.0 |
| 12/20 | Home | Maryland BC | -27.5 | W by 22 | -5.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | N Illinois | -18.0 | W by 29 | +11.0 |
| 01/02 | Away | Wisconsin | +5.5 | L by 11 | -5.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Rutgers | -6.0 | W by 9 | +3.0 |
| 01/12 | Home | Nebraska | -4.5 | W by 18 | +13.5 |
| 01/15 | Away | Minnesota | +3.0 | W by 9 | +12.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Purdue | +6.5 | L by 14 | -7.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | Maryland | -5.0 | L by 2 | -7.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Michigan | +1.5 | W by 10 | +11.5 |
| 01/30 | Away | Indiana | +1.5 | L by 6 | -4.5 |
| 02/02 | Home | Ohio St | -6.0 | W by 2 | -4.0 |
| 02/08 | Away | Penn St | -1.0 | L by 10 | -11.0 |
| 02/11 | Home | Minnesota | -7.5 | W by 5 | -2.5 |
| 02/14 | Away | Maryland | +5.5 | L by 12 | -6.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Wisconsin | -1.0 | W by 2 | +1.0 |
| 02/20 | Away | Michigan St | +9.5 | W by 7 | +16.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | Illinois | +9.5 | L by 10 | -0.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Penn St | -9.0 | W by 9 | 0.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Northwestern | +2.5 | W by 7 | +9.5 |
| 03/10 | Home | Illinois | +2.0 | L by 12 | -10.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Ohio St | +2.5 | L by 12 | -9.5 |
| 03/19 | Home | Kansas St | -5.5 | W by 9 | +3.5 |
| 03/24 | Away | Utah | +5.0 | L by 9 | -4.0 |
Northwestern Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Binghamton | -17.5 | W by 11 | -6.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Dayton | -5.0 | W by 5 | 0.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | W Michigan | -23.5 | W by 4 | -19.5 |
| 11/18 | Neutral | Rhode Island | -9.0 | W by 11 | +2.0 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Miss State | +3.5 | L by 9 | -5.5 |
| 11/27 | Home | N Illinois | -13.5 | W by 22 | +8.5 |
| 12/01 | Home | Purdue | +5.5 | W by 4 | +9.5 |
| 12/10 | Home | Detroit | -23.0 | W by 32 | +9.0 |
| 12/13 | Home | Chicago St | -24.5 | L by 2 | -26.5 |
| 12/16 | Away | DePaul | -10.0 | W by 10 | 0.0 |
| 12/20 | Neutral | Arizona St | -4.0 | W by 19 | +15.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | Jackson St | -18.0 | W by 11 | -7.0 |
| 01/02 | Away | Illinois | +5.5 | L by 30 | -24.5 |
| 01/07 | Home | Michigan St | +3.0 | W by 14 | +17.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Penn St | -1.5 | W by 4 | +2.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Wisconsin | +7.5 | L by 8 | -0.5 |
| 01/17 | Home | Maryland | -4.5 | W by 3 | -1.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Nebraska | +3.0 | L by 6 | -3.0 |
| 01/24 | Home | Illinois | +4.0 | W by 5 | +9.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Ohio St | -3.0 | W by 25 | +22.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Purdue | +14.0 | L by 9 | +5.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Minnesota | -1.5 | L by 9 | -10.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Nebraska | -6.5 | W by 12 | +5.5 |
| 02/11 | Home | Penn St | -7.5 | W by 5 | -2.5 |
| 02/15 | Away | Rutgers | +4.0 | L by 3 | +1.0 |
| 02/18 | Away | Indiana | +2.5 | W by 4 | +6.5 |
| 02/22 | Home | Michigan | -11.5 | W by 14 | +2.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Maryland | +5.5 | W by 7 | +12.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Iowa | -2.5 | L by 7 | -9.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | Michigan St | +9.0 | L by 4 | +5.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | Minnesota | -4.5 | W by 24 | +19.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Wisconsin | +4.5 | L by 9 | -4.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Fla Atlantic | +4.5 | W by 12 | +16.5 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | Connecticut | +13.5 | L by 17 | -3.5 |
| IOWA -9.5 | Open | -8.5 | High | -10.0 |
| Last | -10.0 | Low | -8.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 534 games where the closing line favored the away team by 8.5 to 10.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Iowa won the game 432 times (80.9%).
- The team like Northwestern won the game 102 times (19.1%).
- The team like Iowa did better against the spread, going 267-259-8 (50.8% ATS).
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 140 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Northwestern did better against the spread, going 72-68 (51.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.9 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -9.5 | -9.5 | -10.0 |
| Open | -9.5 | -9.5 | -9.5 |
| History | |||
| 01/17 11:59 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/17 11:55 AM | -- | -- | -10.0 |
| 01/17 11:50 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/17 11:45 AM | -- | -- | -10.0 |
| 01/17 11:14 AM | -- | -9.5 | -- |
| 01/17 10:59 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/17 10:45 AM | -- | -- | -9.5 |
| 01/17 10:32 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/17 10:08 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/17 09:20 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/17 08:55 AM | -- | -- | -10.0 |
| 01/17 08:50 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/17 07:59 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/17 07:24 AM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 01/17 06:25 AM | -- | -- | -10.5 |
| 01/17 06:24 AM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 01/17 06:20 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/17 04:26 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/17 12:50 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/17 12:45 AM | -- | -- | -10.0 |
| 01/16 10:15 PM | -- | -- | -9.5 |
| 01/16 07:02 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/16 05:44 PM | -- | -9.5 | -- |
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