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Iowa at Michigan
Fri Dec 6, 2019
6:30pm ET
Ann Arbor, MI
Iowa at Michigan: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Michigan by 7, Total Points: 143.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | IOWA | adv | MICH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 13-20-1 | 8-24-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 7-13-1 | 4-17-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L4 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-5-1 | 2-8-0 | |
| Home | 7-10-1 | 5-10-0 | |
| Away | 6-10-0 | 3-14-0 |
Iowa Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Home | North Dakota | -20.5 | W by 42 | +21.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Alabama St | -31.5 | W by 31 | -0.5 |
| 11/14 | Away | Creighton | +12.0 | L by 8 | +4.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Arkansas St | -20.5 | W by 14 | -6.5 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Oklahoma | +1.5 | L by 12 | -10.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Seton Hall | -1.5 | W by 13 | +11.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | N Florida | -26.5 | W by 25 | -1.5 |
| 12/04 | Away | Purdue | +13.5 | L by 19 | -5.5 |
| 12/07 | Away | Iowa St | +8.0 | L by 25 | -17.0 |
| 12/10 | Home | Michigan | -4.0 | L by 10 | -14.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | Florida A&M | -24.0 | W by 36 | +12.0 |
| 12/20 | Home | Maryland BC | -27.5 | W by 22 | -5.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | N Illinois | -18.0 | W by 29 | +11.0 |
| 01/02 | Away | Wisconsin | +5.5 | L by 11 | -5.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Rutgers | -6.0 | W by 9 | +3.0 |
| 01/12 | Home | Nebraska | -4.5 | W by 18 | +13.5 |
| 01/15 | Away | Minnesota | +3.0 | W by 9 | +12.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Purdue | +6.5 | L by 14 | -7.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | Maryland | -5.0 | L by 2 | -7.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Michigan | +1.5 | W by 10 | +11.5 |
| 01/30 | Away | Indiana | +1.5 | L by 6 | -4.5 |
| 02/02 | Home | Ohio St | -6.0 | W by 2 | -4.0 |
| 02/08 | Away | Penn St | -1.0 | L by 10 | -11.0 |
| 02/11 | Home | Minnesota | -7.5 | W by 5 | -2.5 |
| 02/14 | Away | Maryland | +5.5 | L by 12 | -6.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Wisconsin | -1.0 | W by 2 | +1.0 |
| 02/20 | Away | Michigan St | +9.5 | W by 7 | +16.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | Illinois | +9.5 | L by 10 | -0.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Penn St | -9.0 | W by 9 | 0.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Northwestern | +2.5 | W by 7 | +9.5 |
| 03/10 | Home | Illinois | +2.0 | L by 12 | -10.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Ohio St | +2.5 | L by 12 | -9.5 |
| 03/19 | Home | Kansas St | -5.5 | W by 9 | +3.5 |
| 03/24 | Away | Utah | +5.0 | L by 9 | -4.0 |
Michigan Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Home | NC-Asheville | -10.5 | W by 25 | +14.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Youngs St | -16.5 | W by 30 | +13.5 |
| 11/13 | Away | St Johns | +3.0 | W by 16 | +19.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Lg Beach St | -15.0 | L by 8 | -23.0 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Memphis | -1.0 | L by 4 | -5.0 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Stanford | -2.5 | W by 5 | +2.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Texas Tech | -2.5 | L by 16 | -18.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | Oregon | +2.5 | L by 3 | -0.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | Indiana | -6.5 | L by 3 | -9.5 |
| 12/10 | Away | Iowa | +4.0 | W by 10 | +14.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | E Michigan | -23.5 | W by 17 | -6.5 |
| 12/19 | Neutral | Florida | +3.5 | L by 5 | -1.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | McNeese St | -10.5 | L by 11 | -21.5 |
| 01/04 | Home | Minnesota | -5.5 | L by 2 | -7.5 |
| 01/07 | Neutral | Penn St | -3.0 | L by 6 | -9.0 |
| 01/11 | Away | Maryland | +6.5 | L by 7 | -0.5 |
| 01/15 | Home | Ohio St | -1.5 | W by 8 | +6.5 |
| 01/18 | Home | Illinois | +2.5 | L by 15 | -12.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | Purdue | +18.0 | L by 32 | -14.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Iowa | -1.5 | L by 10 | -11.5 |
| 01/30 | Away | Michigan St | +12.0 | L by 19 | -7.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Rutgers | -4.5 | L by 10 | -14.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Wisconsin | +8.0 | W by 4 | +12.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Nebraska | +10.0 | L by 20 | -10.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Illinois | +15.5 | L by 29 | -13.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Michigan St | +6.0 | L by 10 | -4.0 |
| 02/22 | Away | Northwestern | +11.5 | L by 14 | -2.5 |
| 02/25 | Home | Purdue | +13.5 | L by 8 | +5.5 |
| 02/29 | Away | Rutgers | +8.0 | L by 30 | -22.0 |
| 03/03 | Away | Ohio St | +12.0 | L by 23 | -11.0 |
| 03/10 | Home | Nebraska | +6.5 | L by 15 | -8.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Penn St | +7.0 | L by 9 | -2.0 |
| MICH -7.0 | Open | -9.0 | High | -9.0 |
| Last | -6.5 | Low | -6.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2476 games where the closing line favored the home team by 6 to 8 points. In these games:
- The team like Michigan won the game 1841 times (74.4%).
- The team like Iowa won the game 635 times (25.6%).
- The team like Michigan did better against the spread, going 1205-1204-67 (50.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 875 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Michigan did better against the spread, going 446-409-20 (52.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -7.0 | -7.0 | -7.0 |
| Open | -8.0 | -8.0 | -8.0 |
| History | |||
| 12/06 06:34 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 12/06 06:30 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 06:25 PM | -- | -- | -7.0 |
| 12/06 06:24 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 05:54 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 12/06 05:49 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 05:44 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 12/06 05:25 PM | -- | -- | -7.0 |
| 12/06 04:54 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 03:36 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 02:51 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 02:45 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 12/06 02:35 PM | -- | -- | -6.5 |
| 12/06 02:22 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 02:01 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 12:35 PM | -- | -- | -6.5 |
| 12/06 12:34 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 12/06 12:29 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 11:20 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 10:15 AM | -- | -- | -7.0 |
| 12/06 10:02 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 09:34 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 12/06 09:25 AM | -- | -- | -7.5 |
| 12/06 08:09 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 07:15 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 04:19 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 01:12 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 11:15 PM | -- | -- | -8.0 |
| 12/05 10:44 PM | -- | -8.0 | -- |
| 12/05 10:03 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 05:24 PM | -- | -8.0 | -- |
| 12/05 05:13 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
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