NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MONM CHAR
Points 65.7 70.7
Total Points   136.4
Points From 2-Pointers 34.8 32.1
Points From 3-Pointers 18.3 22.1
Points From Free Throws 12.6 16.5
Shooting MONM CHAR
Field Goals Made 23.5 23.4
Field Goals Attempted 58.4 52.1
Field Goal % 40.2% 44.9%
2 Pointers Made 17.4 16.0
2 Pointers Attempted 38.3 29.9
2 Point Shooting % 45.4% 53.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.1 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 20.1 22.2
3 Point Shooting % 30.4% 33.1%
Free Throws Made 12.6 16.5
Free Throws Attempted 17.6 22.0
Free Throw % 71.6% 75.2%
Ball Control MONM CHAR
Rebounds 34.4 34.7
Rebounds - Defensive 22.9 25.9
Rebounds - Offensive 11.5 8.9
Turnovers 8.3 9.2
Blocked Shots 2.9 3.7
Steals 5.7 4.4
Fouls 15.5 13.2

Playing Style Advantage: Monmouth

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MONM CHAR
Total Possessions 65.8
Effective Scoring Chances 69.0 65.4
% of Possessions with MONM CHAR
2 Point Attempt 48.6% 39.5%
3 Point Attempt 25.5% 29.3%
Player Fouled 20.1% 23.6%
Turnover 12.6% 14.0%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken MONM CHAR
Shot Blocked 7.2% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 30.8% 27.9%