NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring STJOE SBON
Points 72.6 72.8
Total Points   145.4
Points From 2-Pointers 30.5 35.8
Points From 3-Pointers 29.6 23.9
Points From Free Throws 12.6 13.1
Shooting STJOE SBON
Field Goals Made 25.1 25.9
Field Goals Attempted 56.8 58.3
Field Goal % 44.2% 44.3%
2 Pointers Made 15.2 17.9
2 Pointers Attempted 28.6 35.4
2 Point Shooting % 53.3% 50.6%
3 Pointers Made 9.9 8.0
3 Pointers Attempted 28.2 22.9
3 Point Shooting % 34.9% 34.7%
Free Throws Made 12.6 13.1
Free Throws Attempted 17.5 17.0
Free Throw % 71.9% 77.3%
Ball Control STJOE SBON
Rebounds 33.6 34.8
Rebounds - Defensive 24.5 25.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.1 9.9
Turnovers 11.0 10.0
Blocked Shots 3.0 4.5
Steals 5.1 6.3
Fouls 12.5 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: St Bonavent

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats STJOE SBON
Total Possessions 69.0
Effective Scoring Chances 67.1 68.9
% of Possessions with STJOE SBON
2 Point Attempt 35.7% 44.2%
3 Point Attempt 35.3% 28.6%
Player Fouled 20.6% 18.2%
Turnover 15.9% 14.5%
Opponent Steal 9.2% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken STJOE SBON
Shot Blocked 7.9% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 26.7% 28.7%