NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MONM RID
Points 72.3 71.5
Total Points   143.8
Points From 2-Pointers 34.6 35.4
Points From 3-Pointers 21.6 20.6
Points From Free Throws 16.1 15.5
Shooting MONM RID
Field Goals Made 24.5 24.6
Field Goals Attempted 59.8 58.2
Field Goal % 41.0% 42.2%
2 Pointers Made 17.3 17.7
2 Pointers Attempted 38.3 39.2
2 Point Shooting % 45.3% 45.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.2 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 21.5 19.0
3 Point Shooting % 33.5% 36.1%
Free Throws Made 16.1 15.5
Free Throws Attempted 22.4 20.3
Free Throw % 71.6% 76.3%
Ball Control MONM RID
Rebounds 36.3 38.3
Rebounds - Defensive 24.3 26.6
Rebounds - Offensive 12.0 11.7
Turnovers 8.6 10.7
Blocked Shots 3.8 4.3
Steals 6.8 4.8
Fouls 14.6 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: Rider

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MONM RID
Total Possessions 69.8
Effective Scoring Chances 73.1 70.8
% of Possessions with MONM RID
2 Point Attempt 45.9% 47.2%
3 Point Attempt 25.8% 22.9%
Player Fouled 21.3% 20.9%
Turnover 12.4% 15.3%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 9.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken MONM RID
Shot Blocked 7.5% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 31.0% 32.5%