NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UMES SCST
Points 62.3 69.8
Total Points   132.1
Points From 2-Pointers 30.7 35.2
Points From 3-Pointers 14.6 18.3
Points From Free Throws 17.0 16.3
Shooting UMES SCST
Field Goals Made 20.2 23.7
Field Goals Attempted 51.1 58.2
Field Goal % 39.5% 40.7%
2 Pointers Made 15.3 17.6
2 Pointers Attempted 33.3 38.5
2 Point Shooting % 46.1% 45.6%
3 Pointers Made 4.9 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 17.8 19.7
3 Point Shooting % 27.3% 31.0%
Free Throws Made 17.0 16.3
Free Throws Attempted 23.7 23.4
Free Throw % 71.8% 70.0%
Ball Control UMES SCST
Rebounds 32.1 41.0
Rebounds - Defensive 22.8 25.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 15.7
Turnovers 14.7 12.9
Blocked Shots 2.5 4.0
Steals 6.6 8.0
Fouls 15.9 17.9

Playing Style Advantage: S Car State

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UMES SCST
Total Possessions 71.3
Effective Scoring Chances 65.9 74.1
% of Possessions with UMES SCST
2 Point Attempt 40.5% 43.8%
3 Point Attempt 21.7% 22.3%
Player Fouled 25.1% 22.3%
Turnover 20.6% 18.1%
Opponent Steal 11.2% 9.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken UMES SCST
Shot Blocked 7.0% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 26.8% 40.8%