NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UMES STAN
Points 58.7 81.1
Total Points   139.8
Points From 2-Pointers 31.5 40.5
Points From 3-Pointers 17.4 25.6
Points From Free Throws 9.9 15.0
Shooting UMES STAN
Field Goals Made 21.5 28.8
Field Goals Attempted 61.1 55.8
Field Goal % 35.2% 51.6%
2 Pointers Made 15.7 20.2
2 Pointers Attempted 40.6 31.9
2 Point Shooting % 38.8% 63.5%
3 Pointers Made 5.8 8.5
3 Pointers Attempted 20.6 23.9
3 Point Shooting % 28.1% 35.7%
Free Throws Made 9.9 15.0
Free Throws Attempted 13.8 20.3
Free Throw % 71.8% 73.9%
Ball Control UMES STAN
Rebounds 30.2 41.3
Rebounds - Defensive 21.7 32.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 8.4
Turnovers 11.7 12.3
Blocked Shots 1.7 3.8
Steals 6.5 5.8
Fouls 16.4 12.3

Playing Style Advantage: Maryland ES

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UMES STAN
Total Possessions 72.6
Effective Scoring Chances 69.4 68.8
% of Possessions with UMES STAN
2 Point Attempt 49.1% 39.0%
3 Point Attempt 24.9% 29.3%
Player Fouled 16.9% 22.6%
Turnover 16.1% 16.9%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 9.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken UMES STAN
Shot Blocked 6.9% 2.8%
Offensive Rebound 20.5% 28.0%