NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UVM
Points 52.6 75.1
Total Points   127.8
Points From 2-Pointers 27.2 34.0
Points From 3-Pointers 19.3 29.5
Points From Free Throws 6.1 11.6
Shooting UVM
Field Goals Made 20.0 26.8
Field Goals Attempted 54.6 55.6
Field Goal % 36.7% 48.2%
2 Pointers Made 13.6 17.0
2 Pointers Attempted 32.0 30.8
2 Point Shooting % 42.6% 55.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.4 9.8
3 Pointers Attempted 22.6 24.9
3 Point Shooting % 28.5% 39.6%
Free Throws Made 6.1 11.6
Free Throws Attempted 10.0 16.1
Free Throw % 60.7% 71.9%
Ball Control UVM
Rebounds 30.1 37.3
Rebounds - Defensive 23.5 29.8
Rebounds - Offensive 6.6 7.5
Turnovers 11.7 8.3
Blocked Shots 3.8 3.6
Steals 4.6 6.1
Fouls 13.5 11.0

Playing Style Advantage:

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UVM
Total Possessions 65.7
Effective Scoring Chances 60.6 64.9
% of Possessions with UVM
2 Point Attempt 43.4% 41.2%
3 Point Attempt 30.7% 33.3%
Player Fouled 16.8% 20.6%
Turnover 17.8% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 9.2% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken UVM
Shot Blocked 6.6% 7.1%
Offensive Rebound 18.1% 24.2%