NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WIN
Points 58.2 77.5
Total Points   135.8
Points From 2-Pointers 27.3 36.1
Points From 3-Pointers 23.4 24.0
Points From Free Throws 7.6 17.5
Shooting WIN
Field Goals Made 21.4 26.0
Field Goals Attempted 54.2 53.0
Field Goal % 39.6% 49.1%
2 Pointers Made 13.7 18.0
2 Pointers Attempted 27.0 32.2
2 Point Shooting % 50.6% 56.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.8 8.0
3 Pointers Attempted 27.2 20.9
3 Point Shooting % 28.6% 38.3%
Free Throws Made 7.6 17.5
Free Throws Attempted 12.4 25.3
Free Throw % 60.7% 69.3%
Ball Control WIN
Rebounds 29.0 37.8
Rebounds - Defensive 20.8 27.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.1 10.5
Turnovers 14.6 11.3
Blocked Shots 4.5 2.3
Steals 5.7 6.0
Fouls 18.1 13.5

Playing Style Advantage:

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WIN
Total Possessions 69.1
Effective Scoring Chances 62.6 68.3
% of Possessions with WIN
2 Point Attempt 34.6% 39.5%
3 Point Attempt 34.8% 25.6%
Player Fouled 19.5% 26.2%
Turnover 21.1% 16.3%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken WIN
Shot Blocked 4.4% 8.3%
Offensive Rebound 22.9% 33.4%