NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UMES COPP
Points 62.5 58.5
Total Points   120.9
Points From 2-Pointers 31.7 29.8
Points From 3-Pointers 16.3 16.0
Points From Free Throws 14.4 12.6
Shooting UMES COPP
Field Goals Made 21.3 20.2
Field Goals Attempted 54.1 54.2
Field Goal % 39.3% 37.4%
2 Pointers Made 15.8 14.9
2 Pointers Attempted 35.0 35.1
2 Point Shooting % 45.3% 42.4%
3 Pointers Made 5.4 5.3
3 Pointers Attempted 19.1 19.1
3 Point Shooting % 28.5% 28.0%
Free Throws Made 14.4 12.6
Free Throws Attempted 20.1 17.4
Free Throw % 71.8% 72.6%
Ball Control UMES COPP
Rebounds 38.4 34.0
Rebounds - Defensive 26.6 24.2
Rebounds - Offensive 11.8 9.8
Turnovers 14.0 14.0
Blocked Shots 2.7 2.8
Steals 8.2 7.3
Fouls 14.1 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: Coppin St

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UMES COPP
Total Possessions 69.8
Effective Scoring Chances 67.6 65.6
% of Possessions with UMES COPP
2 Point Attempt 42.3% 43.5%
3 Point Attempt 23.1% 23.6%
Player Fouled 21.3% 20.2%
Turnover 20.1% 20.1%
Opponent Steal 10.5% 11.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken UMES COPP
Shot Blocked 5.2% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 32.7% 27.0%