NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MONM KENN
Points 81.5 77.1
Total Points   158.6
Points From 2-Pointers 37.4 32.2
Points From 3-Pointers 24.3 29.9
Points From Free Throws 19.8 15.0
Shooting MONM KENN
Field Goals Made 26.8 26.1
Field Goals Attempted 60.0 61.7
Field Goal % 44.7% 42.3%
2 Pointers Made 18.7 16.1
2 Pointers Attempted 37.8 31.8
2 Point Shooting % 49.5% 50.7%
3 Pointers Made 8.1 10.0
3 Pointers Attempted 22.2 29.9
3 Point Shooting % 36.5% 33.3%
Free Throws Made 19.8 15.0
Free Throws Attempted 27.6 22.4
Free Throw % 71.6% 67.1%
Ball Control MONM KENN
Rebounds 39.9 37.1
Rebounds - Defensive 27.8 25.4
Rebounds - Offensive 12.0 11.8
Turnovers 10.2 11.0
Blocked Shots 4.1 4.6
Steals 6.6 5.4
Fouls 16.5 17.7

Playing Style Advantage: Monmouth

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MONM KENN
Total Possessions 74.6
Effective Scoring Chances 76.5 75.4
% of Possessions with MONM KENN
2 Point Attempt 42.7% 36.1%
3 Point Attempt 25.1% 34.0%
Player Fouled 23.7% 22.1%
Turnover 13.6% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken MONM KENN
Shot Blocked 7.7% 7.1%
Offensive Rebound 32.2% 29.7%